Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 21, 2025, 8:12 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Bradley-Terry rankings for the expected end-of-season win totals; Pr[A beats B] = 0.5+0.5*tanh(rA-rB). Prediction model is a hybrid Kalman filter, driven by the win margin of each game.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ole Miss Rebels	1.842 [10.5-1.5]
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	1.746 [10.6-1.4]
3	Indiana Hoosiers	1.696 [10.7-1.3]
4	Oregon Ducks	1.619 [10.2-1.8]
5	Georgia Bulldogs	1.614 [9.4-2.6]
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.500 [8.5-3.5]
7	Oklahoma Sooners	1.455 [8.1-3.9]
8	Texas Longhorns	1.405 [8.4-3.6]
9	Miami Hurricanes	1.403 [10.3-1.7]
10	Missouri Tigers	1.377 [8.7-3.3]
11	Tennessee Volunteers	1.353 [8.7-3.3]
12	LSU Tigers	1.313 [8.2-3.8]
13	Vanderbilt Commodores	1.291 [8.4-3.6]
14	Texas A&M Aggies	1.288 [8.5-3.5]
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	1.232 [8.9-3.1]
16	Michigan Wolverines	1.193 [8.6-3.4]
17	USC Trojans	1.183 [9.2-2.8]
18	BYU Cougars	1.148 [9.5-2.5]
19	Washington Huskies	1.134 [8.9-3.1]
20	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.015 [8.5-3.5]
21	Florida State Seminoles	1.007 [9.3-2.7]
22	Auburn Tigers	0.988 [6.8-5.2]
23	Texas Tech Red Raiders	0.929 [9.2-2.8]
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	0.921 [5.6-6.4]
25	Iowa State Cyclones	0.914 [8.6-3.4]

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ole Miss Rebels	1.60
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
3	Indiana Hoosiers	0.71
4	Oregon Ducks	0.00
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
6	Alabama Crimson Tide	2.28
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
8	Texas Longhorns	0.71
9	Miami Hurricanes	-0.86
10	Missouri Tigers	0.56
11	Tennessee Volunteers	0.81
12	LSU Tigers	-0.07
13	Vanderbilt Commodores	0.02
14	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	-0.52
16	Michigan Wolverines	0.59
17	USC Trojans	0.00
18	BYU Cougars	0.31
19	Washington Huskies	2.71
20	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.58
21	Florida State Seminoles	-1.72
22	Auburn Tigers	0.97
23	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-1.97
24	Arkansas Razorbacks	1.18
25	Iowa State Cyclones	-1.52

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	1.68
TCU Horned Frogs	0.39
Mississippi State Bulldogs	0.03

Total Score: 22.81