Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Sept. 14, 2025, 11:09 a.m.

Overall Rationale: My computer poll, that assesses the most deserving teams based on how likely a "top 12 team" would have a record equal to or better than them. Note: Formula is very messy early in the season due to there being no priors.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Florida State Seminoles	25.25%
2	Texas A&M Aggies	34.55%
3	Missouri Tigers	36.18%
4	Ole Miss Rebels	37.12%
5	Miami Hurricanes	42.11%
6	Mississippi State Bulldogs	49.73%
7	Oklahoma Sooners	60.98%
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	75.73%
9	Nebraska Cornhuskers	81.49%
10	California Golden Bears	81.93%
11	Iowa State Cyclones	82.11%
12	LSU Tigers	82.72%
13	Georgia Bulldogs	83.29%
14	Indiana Hoosiers	84.30%
15	Auburn Tigers	84.34%
16	USC Trojans	85.31%
17	Tulane Green Wave	85.39%
18	Arizona Wildcats	85.57%
19	NC State Wolfpack	86.79%
20	Texas Tech Red Raiders	87.83%
21	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	88.51%
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	89.04%
23	Vanderbilt Commodores	89.35%
24	Penn State Nittany Lions	89.45%
25	Kentucky Wildcats	90.12%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Florida State Seminoles	0.98
2	Texas A&M Aggies	1.33
3	Missouri Tigers	2.38
4	Ole Miss Rebels	1.02
5	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
6	Mississippi State Bulldogs	3.88
7	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	-1.18
9	Nebraska Cornhuskers	5.04
10	California Golden Bears	10.87
11	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
12	LSU Tigers	-0.75
13	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.66
14	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
15	Auburn Tigers	0.19
16	USC Trojans	0.05
17	Tulane Green Wave	1.14
18	Arizona Wildcats	4.70
19	NC State Wolfpack	1.13
20	Texas Tech Red Raiders	0.00
21	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-0.21
22	Arizona State Sun Devils	3.07
23	Vanderbilt Commodores	-0.41
24	Penn State Nittany Lions	-2.84
25	Kentucky Wildcats	0.21

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Oregon Ducks	4.97
Illinois Fighting Illini	2.07
Texas Longhorns	0.88
Utah Utes	1.32
Tennessee Volunteers	0.68
Alabama Crimson Tide	0.47
Michigan Wolverines	0.11

Total Score: 53.58