Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Sept. 14, 2025, 10:35 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Tier 1. A few issues, but the defense looks great and the passing game is explosive. |
| 2 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Tier 1. Hard to find a team with two wins as good as Miami's over ND and USF. They're my #2 for now. |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Tier 1. |
| 4 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Tier 2. |
| 5 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Tier 2. Defense had some struggles, but a win is a win, especially a road win over a ranked team. |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
Tier 3. Their two signature wins so far are both against teams that are a bit disappointing. I've got them here for now but I'm not confident. |
| 7 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
Tier 3. |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Tier 3. Arch is not looking great, but I still think this team is very talented. |
| 9 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
Tier 3. |
| 10 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
Tier 3. Crazy game against ND. Have to consider them a playoff level team right now. |
| 11 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
Tier 4. |
| 12 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Tier 4. Road win against a P4 team is always good. |
| 13 |
Utah Utes
|
Tier 4. Slow start, but Wyoming ain't bad. |
| 14 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Tier 4. |
| 15 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Tier 4. |
| 16 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
Tier 4. Lost but moved up a spot due to how close that was, and all the losses around them. |
| 17 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
Tier 4. Difficulty with Old Dominion doesn't look quite as bad after they killed VT today. |
| 18 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
Tier 4. VT isn't good, and I'm not sure how good South Carolina is, but golly I think Vandy might be pretty darn good. |
| 19 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
Tier 4. A few decent wins so far, and a schedule that sets up really nicely for them going forward. It's not impossible they're 11-0 when they host UGA. |
| 20 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
Tier 4. Closer than expected @Ark State, but they're 4-0 and have beaten two P4 teams to be there. |
| 21 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
Tier 4. |
| 22 |
Auburn Tigers
|
Tier 4. |
| 23 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Tier 4. Gonna get flak for this, but two losses to top ten teams by a combined four points means I still think they're a ranked team. Let's see how they do going forward. |
| 24 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Tier 4. |
| 25 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.57 |
| 9 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.88 |
| 13 |
Utah Utes
|
0.14 |
| 14 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
2.31 |
| 15 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-0.56 |
| 21 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.82 |
| 24 |
Missouri Tigers
|
-0.26 |
| 25 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |