Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Sept. 14, 2025, 10:35 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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Tier 1. A few issues, but the defense looks great and the passing game is explosive. |
2 |
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Tier 1. Hard to find a team with two wins as good as Miami's over ND and USF. They're my #2 for now. |
3 |
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Tier 1. |
4 |
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Tier 2. |
5 |
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Tier 2. Defense had some struggles, but a win is a win, especially a road win over a ranked team. |
6 |
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Tier 3. Their two signature wins so far are both against teams that are a bit disappointing. I've got them here for now but I'm not confident. |
7 |
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Tier 3. |
8 |
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Tier 3. Arch is not looking great, but I still think this team is very talented. |
9 |
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Tier 3. |
10 |
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Tier 3. Crazy game against ND. Have to consider them a playoff level team right now. |
11 |
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Tier 4. |
12 |
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Tier 4. Road win against a P4 team is always good. |
13 |
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Tier 4. Slow start, but Wyoming ain't bad. |
14 |
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Tier 4. |
15 |
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Tier 4. |
16 |
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Tier 4. Lost but moved up a spot due to how close that was, and all the losses around them. |
17 |
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Tier 4. Difficulty with Old Dominion doesn't look quite as bad after they killed VT today. |
18 |
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Tier 4. VT isn't good, and I'm not sure how good South Carolina is, but golly I think Vandy might be pretty darn good. |
19 |
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Tier 4. A few decent wins so far, and a schedule that sets up really nicely for them going forward. It's not impossible they're 11-0 when they host UGA. |
20 |
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Tier 4. Closer than expected @Ark State, but they're 4-0 and have beaten two P4 teams to be there. |
21 |
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Tier 4. |
22 |
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Tier 4. |
23 |
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Tier 4. Gonna get flak for this, but two losses to top ten teams by a combined four points means I still think they're a ranked team. Let's see how they do going forward. |
24 |
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Tier 4. |
25 |
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Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.57 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.88 |
13 |
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0.14 |
14 |
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2.31 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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-0.56 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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0.00 |
23 |
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0.82 |
24 |
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-0.26 |
25 |
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0.00 |