Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 8, 2025, 8:33 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Every year I've done some variation of the Colley Matrix (introducing bias to the famously "bias-free computer poll"), and this year is no different. Last time the teams were biased by FPI. This was probably good as far as accuracy goes, if you consider accuracy "closer to human polls." But in practice it was pretty much the Colley matrix with G5 teams down a lot of spots and P5 (especially SEC) teams up a lot of spots. One of the weeks Florida was ranked at like 25 at 7-5 or 5-7 or whatever happened in the swamp last year. So this year, I'm going to bias the teams by PFF rating. Specifically their "Overall" rating. I imagine this might cause a lot of craziness, but we can re-assess at week 4, whether to make a slight change first. Toyed around with the weights this week, but ended up just keeping it the same as last week. Still needs more data.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.25 |
| 2 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
17.94 |
| 3 |
Missouri Tigers
|
2.98 |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
1.56 |
| 5 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
19.76 |
| 6 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.96 |
| 7 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
8.98 |
| 8 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.03 |
| 9 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
1.22 |
| 10 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
13.71 |
| 11 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
2.12 |
| 12 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
12.80 |
| 13 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
11.87 |
| 14 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
-3.21 |
| 15 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.48 |
| 16 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
8.80 |
| 17 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-3.86 |
| 18 |
USC Trojans
|
0.77 |
| 19 |
Arizona Wildcats
|
4.87 |
| 20 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
1.08 |
| 21 |
Houston Cougars
|
3.98 |
| 22 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-1.12 |
| 23 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
0.99 |
| 24 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
|
0.98 |
| 25 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
-1.78 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
LSU Tigers
|
4.78 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
3.99 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
3.89 |
Texas Longhorns
|
1.49 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
2.03 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
1.84 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.24 |
USF Bulls
|
0.81 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.97 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.67 |
Utah Utes
|
0.75 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.08 |
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
|
0.13 |
Total Score: 149.77