Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Sept. 7, 2025, 5:54 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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Tier 1. |
2 |
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Tier 1. Oregon hates OSU. Any OSU. |
3 |
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Tier 2. Defense looks great but I have questions about the offense. |
4 |
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Tier 2. Struggled more with Austin Peay than I thought they would. Big test @Tenn up next. |
5 |
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Tier 3. |
6 |
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Tier 3. Clemson win isn't as impressive as it seemed at first. La Tech's defense gave their offense a bit of trouble. |
7 |
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Tier 3. |
8 |
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Tier 3. |
9 |
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Tier 3. Good win over solid Michigan team. If they get past Auburn they should be 5-0 when they play Texas. |
10 |
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Tier 3. |
11 |
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Tier 4. |
12 |
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Tier 4. Oof. Poor ULM |
13 |
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Tier 4. Two great wins to start the season. If they beat Miami they're in the driver's seat for a playoff spot. |
14 |
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Tier 4. This is the team we thought they'd be last year. |
15 |
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Tier 4. Slow start against SC State and VT win doesn't look as good. |
16 |
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Tier 4. |
17 |
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Tier 4. |
18 |
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Tier 4. 11 point loss on the road to a top ten team isn't damning, but offense needs to improve. |
19 |
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Tier 4. This team does not look good. Road test against GT next week. |
20 |
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Tier 4. |
21 |
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Tier 4. |
22 |
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Tier 4. |
23 |
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Tier 4. Not gonna get any easier going forward. Baton Rouge next week. |
24 |
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Tier 4. Baylor win looking pretty good now. |
25 |
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Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.09 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.18 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.06 |
10 |
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0.05 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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2.23 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.28 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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1.85 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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-0.06 |
22 |
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-1.12 |
23 |
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2.08 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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-0.22 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.18 |
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0.13 |
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0.03 |
Total Score: 8.55