Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 10, 2024, 9:59 a.m.

Overall Rationale: I run a probabilistic, predictive rating based only on teams' results so far this season, using opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed that is good at predicting expected margins for future games, with a relatively low absolute error. From those ratings, I calculate these Strength of Record rankings (probability that an average top 12 team would achieve the same or better record against the team's schedule).

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Oregon Ducks
2	Georgia Bulldogs
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
4	Texas Longhorns
5	Indiana Hoosiers
6	Penn State Nittany Lions
7	Arizona State Sun Devils
8	Ohio State Buckeyes
9	BYU Cougars
10	SMU Mustangs
11	Boise State Broncos
12	Tennessee Volunteers
13	Alabama Crimson Tide
14	Army West Point
15	South Carolina Gamecocks
16	Miami Hurricanes
17	Iowa State Cyclones
18	Clemson Tigers
19	Missouri Tigers
20	Colorado Buffaloes
21	Ole Miss Rebels
22	LSU Tigers
23	Illinois Fighting Illini
24	Syracuse Orange
25	Texas A&M Aggies

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Oregon Ducks	0.00
2	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
3	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
4	Texas Longhorns	0.00
5	Indiana Hoosiers	0.69
6	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
7	Arizona State Sun Devils	0.12
8	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
9	BYU Cougars	1.85
10	SMU Mustangs	0.00
11	Boise State Broncos	-0.12
12	Tennessee Volunteers	-0.16
13	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
14	Army West Point	0.17
15	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.00
16	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
17	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
18	Clemson Tigers	-0.74
19	Missouri Tigers	1.18
20	Colorado Buffaloes	0.00
21	Ole Miss Rebels	-0.85
22	LSU Tigers	1.60
23	Illinois Fighting Illini	0.00
24	Syracuse Orange	0.00
25	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
UNLV Rebels	0.25
Memphis Tigers	0.14

Total Score: 7.86