Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Dec. 9, 2024, 10:46 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My computer starts as a strict power ranking and over the course of the season weights resume more and more as a way to try and predict how the committee may make their selections. This week was tricky for me because the committee made the fair choice of not punishing the conference championship game losers. I played around with doing that as well but ultimately decided to continue weighting these losses the same as any other loss as they were as I wasn't as pleased with the overall results of the ballot. Ultimately, I matched the committee on 11 of the 12 teams making it to the playoffs with the one exception of Miami getting in over SMU. Their resumes were practically weighted the same as while SMU had better losses, Miami had better wins and also my model favors Miami ever so slightly on a neutral field.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | 1st Seed (Bye) |
2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 5th Seed |
3 | Texas Longhorns | 6th Seed |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 2nd Seed (Bye) |
5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 7th Seed |
6 | Indiana Hoosiers | 8th seed |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 9th Seed |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | 10th Seed |
9 | Miami Hurricanes | 11th Seed |
10 | SMU Mustangs | |
11 | Boise State Broncos | 3rd Seed (Bye) |
12 | Alabama Crimson Tide | |
13 | South Carolina Gamecocks | |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | |
15 | Arizona State Sun Devils | 4th Seed (Bye) |
16 | BYU Cougars | |
17 | Clemson Tigers | 12th Seed |
18 | Army West Point | |
19 | Missouri Tigers | |
20 | Louisville Cardinals | |
21 | Iowa State Cyclones | |
22 | Texas A&M Aggies | |
23 | Colorado Buffaloes | |
24 | LSU Tigers | |
25 | Illinois Fighting Illini |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.09 |
3 | Texas Longhorns | 0.14 |
4 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
5 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
6 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0.22 |
7 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
8 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
9 | Miami Hurricanes | 1.36 |
10 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
11 | Boise State Broncos | -0.12 |
12 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
13 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 0.00 |
14 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
15 | Arizona State Sun Devils | -0.93 |
16 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
17 | Clemson Tigers | -0.39 |
18 | Army West Point | 0.00 |
19 | Missouri Tigers | 1.18 |
20 | Louisville Cardinals | 1.73 |
21 | Iowa State Cyclones | -0.13 |
22 | Texas A&M Aggies | 1.03 |
23 | Colorado Buffaloes | 0.00 |
24 | LSU Tigers | 0.07 |
25 | Illinois Fighting Illini | -0.55 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Syracuse Orange | 0.61 |
UNLV Rebels | 0.25 |
Memphis Tigers | 0.14 |
Total Score: 8.94