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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2024 Week 16 & Bowls

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Dec. 8, 2024, 12:26 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 16 notes: Deservedness keeping highly-rated 3+-loss teams such as Clemson and Iowa State behind 1- loss Boise State and Alabama and Ole Miss behind 1-loss Army; 3-loss teams such as Clemson and Iowa State can be ranked over Army due to loss allowance. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = Team A cannot be ranked over Team B that has 2+ fewer losses (ex: 9-3 LSU can be ranked over 10-2 Missouri, but 9-3 LSU cannot be ranked over 11-1 Tulane even if LSU beat Tulane heads up, rankings have LSU over Tulane, and/or I think LSU is better than Tulane) unless Team B is giving a X loss allowance to Team A due to significantly fewer P4 games played. Loss allowances come into play when: P5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 games, 10-8=2, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); P5 teams play 6 fewer P5 games than a G5 team (11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 teams, 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 teams, 8-2=6, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); G5 teams play 10 fewer P5 teams than a P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 10-0=0, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty); or G5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another G5 team (ex: 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 2-0=2, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty). If the game differential exceeds more than 2/6/10/2 in those scenarios, add another loss allowance for each additional P5 game played difference in that scenario.

Rank Team Reason
1 Oregon Ducks +0. #1 playoff seed in this scenario playing the winner of #8 Texas/#9 Notre Dame in the Rose Bowl
2 Georgia Bulldogs +2. #2 playoff seed in this scenario playing the winner of #7 Indiana/#10 SMU in the Sugar Bowl
3 Ohio State Buckeyes -1. #5 playoff seed in this scenario hosting #12 Clemson in the first round
4 Penn State Nittany Lions -1. #6 playoff seed in this scenario hosting #11 Tennessee in the first round
5 Indiana Hoosiers +0. #7 playoff seed in this scenario hosting #10 SMU in the first round
6 Texas Longhorns +0. #8 playoff seed in this scenario hosting #9 Notre Dame in the first round
7 Arizona State Sun Devils +3. #3 playoff seed in this scenario playing the winner of #6 Penn State/#11 Tennessee in the Fiesta Bowl
8 Notre Dame Fighting Irish -1. #9 playoff seed in this scenario playing at #8 Tennessee in the first round
9 SMU Mustangs -1. #10 playoff seed in this scenario playing at #7 Indiana in the first round
10 Tennessee Volunteers -1. #11 playoff seed in this scenario playing at #6 Penn State in the first round
11 Miami Hurricanes +1. Due to Iowa State having 3 losses and no loss allowance over Boise State
12 BYU Cougars +1. Due to Iowa State having 3 losses and no loss allowance over Boise State
13 Boise State Broncos +1. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Boise State such as Clemson from being ranked ahead of Boise State. #4 playoff seed in this scenario playing the winner of #5 Ohio State/#12 Clemson in the Peach Bowl
14 Clemson Tigers +1. Loss allowances over Army, Memphis, and Liberty. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Boise State such as Clemson from being ranked ahead of Boise State. #12 playoff seed in this scenario playing at #5 Ohio State in the first round
15 Iowa State Cyclones -4. Loss allowances over Army, Memphis, and Liberty. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Boise State such as Iowa State from being ranked ahead of Boise State
16 Illinois Fighting Illini +0. Loss allowances over Army, Memphis, and Liberty. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Boise State such as Illinois from being ranked ahead of Boise State
17 Colorado Buffaloes +0. Loss allowances over Army, Memphis, and Liberty. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Boise State such as Colorado from being ranked ahead of Boise State
18 TCU Horned Frogs +1. Loss allowances over Army, Memphis, and Liberty. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Boise State such as TCU from being ranked ahead of Boise State
19 UNLV Rebels -1. Loss allowances over Army, Memphis, and Liberty
20 Army West Point +0. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Alabama from being ranked ahead of Army
21 Alabama Crimson Tide +0. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Alabama from being ranked ahead of Army
22 Florida Gators +0. Loss allowances over Memphis, Liberty, Missouri, Syracuse, Duke, Washington State, Marshall, Ohio, Louisiana, Navy, and Sam Houston. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Florida from being ranked ahead of Army
23 Ole Miss Rebels +0. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Ole Miss from being ranked ahead of Army
24 South Carolina Gamecocks +0. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as South Carolina from being ranked ahead of Army
25 Louisville Cardinals +0. Loss allowances over Memphis and Liberty. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 3+ loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Louisville from being ranked ahead of Army.

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