Back to poll results >>

ExternalTangents Ballot for 2024 Week 14

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 26, 2024, 8:26 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Probabilistic, predictive rating based only on teams' results so far this season, using opponent-adjusted points scored and allowed. This is NOT an achievement/resume rating, it's meant to predict the margins of future games. As wins and losses are not the key input, there will be teams ranked ahead of opponents they've beaten and teams with a better record than them. A close loss against an elite team is better than a close win against a bad team. Net rating is how far above/below the average Div 1 team (FBS and FCS combined) the team is. Offense and defense ratings are how many points above/below average they are projected to score or allow in a future game. This rating system is good at predicting expected margins for future games, with a relatively low absolute error.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes Net Rating: 29.8; O: 14.08, O Rank: 2; D: -15.72, D Rank: 1
2 Texas Longhorns Net Rating: 28.16; O: 12.99, O Rank: 7; D: -15.17, D Rank: 2
3 Alabama Crimson Tide Net Rating: 27.27; O: 14.08, O Rank: 2; D: -13.19, D Rank: 6
4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish Net Rating: 27.27; O: 13.13, O Rank: 5; D: -14.15, D Rank: 4
5 Tennessee Volunteers Net Rating: 25.5; O: 10.94, O Rank: 17; D: -14.56, D Rank: 3
6 Georgia Bulldogs Net Rating: 25.23; O: 13.13, O Rank: 5; D: -12.1, D Rank: 9
7 Ole Miss Rebels Net Rating: 24.95; O: 12.17, O Rank: 10; D: -12.78, D Rank: 7
8 Indiana Hoosiers Net Rating: 24.61; O: 13.88, O Rank: 4; D: -10.74, D Rank: 14
9 Penn State Nittany Lions Net Rating: 23.86; O: 10.33, O Rank: 23; D: -13.53, D Rank: 5
10 Oregon Ducks Net Rating: 23.86; O: 11.15, O Rank: 16; D: -12.72, D Rank: 8
11 Miami Hurricanes Net Rating: 23.25; O: 16.19, O Rank: 1; D: -7.06, D Rank: 49
12 South Carolina Gamecocks Net Rating: 23.25; O: 12.1, O Rank: 11; D: -11.15, D Rank: 12
13 Louisville Cardinals Net Rating: 21.55; O: 12.65, O Rank: 9; D: -8.9, D Rank: 36
14 SMU Mustangs Net Rating: 21.48; O: 12.99, O Rank: 7; D: -8.49, D Rank: 39
15 Tulane Green Wave Net Rating: 21.14; O: 11.42, O Rank: 13; D: -9.72, D Rank: 24
16 Kansas State Wildcats Net Rating: 20.32; O: 9.99, O Rank: 26; D: -10.33, D Rank: 17
17 Iowa State Cyclones Net Rating: 20.25; O: 8.83, O Rank: 34; D: -11.42, D Rank: 10
18 Iowa Hawkeyes Net Rating: 20.18; O: 9.85, O Rank: 27; D: -10.33, D Rank: 17
19 BYU Cougars Net Rating: 19.98; O: 9.38, O Rank: 29; D: -10.6, D Rank: 15
20 Texas A&M Aggies Net Rating: 19.84; O: 10.53, O Rank: 20; D: -9.31, D Rank: 31
21 Kansas Jayhawks Net Rating: 19.64; O: 10.53, O Rank: 20; D: -9.1, D Rank: 32
22 Colorado Buffaloes Net Rating: 19.5; O: 10.6, O Rank: 19; D: -8.9, D Rank: 36
23 Clemson Tigers Net Rating: 18.95; O: 11.42, O Rank: 13; D: -7.53, D Rank: 44
24 USC Trojans Net Rating: 18.68; O: 9.31, O Rank: 30; D: -9.38, D Rank: 29
25 Arizona State Sun Devils Net Rating: 18.55; O: 8.49, O Rank: 37; D: -10.06, D Rank: 23

Back to poll results >>