Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 25, 2024, 11 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: BYU, Kansas State, Colorado, James Madison dropped out.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	+2
2	Oregon Ducks	-1
3	Georgia Bulldogs	+8
4	Texas Longhorns	-2
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	+2
6	Tulane Green Wave	no change
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-2
8	Tennessee Volunteers	+2
9	Ole Miss Rebels	+2
10	Miami Hurricanes	-2
11	Indiana Hoosiers	-7
12	Alabama Crimson Tide	-3
13	Clemson Tigers	+1
14	SMU Mustangs	+5
15	South Carolina Gamecocks	-2
16	Texas A&M Aggies	no change
17	Iowa State Cyclones	+10
18	Louisville Cardinals	+12
19	UNLV Rebels	+16
20	Boise State Broncos	-6
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	-2
22	Kansas Jayhawks	+3
23	LSU Tigers	-4
24	Arizona State Sun Devils	Manually adding instead of USC because USC has 5 losses
25	Army West Point	Manually adding instead of Michigan because Michigan has 5 losses.

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.26
2	Oregon Ducks	-0.07
3	Georgia Bulldogs	0.99
4	Texas Longhorns	0.00
5	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
6	Tulane Green Wave	2.75
7	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-0.05
8	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
9	Ole Miss Rebels	1.13
10	Miami Hurricanes	-0.28
11	Indiana Hoosiers	-0.41
12	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.16
13	Clemson Tigers	0.00
14	SMU Mustangs	-1.94
15	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.00
16	Texas A&M Aggies	0.94
17	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
18	Louisville Cardinals	4.22
19	UNLV Rebels	0.19
20	Boise State Broncos	-2.07
21	Iowa Hawkeyes	4.05
22	Kansas Jayhawks	3.10
23	LSU Tigers	1.76
24	Arizona State Sun Devils	-2.31
25	Army West Point	-0.09

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
BYU Cougars	1.91
Kansas State Wildcats	0.31
Illinois Fighting Illini	0.46
Colorado Buffaloes	0.27

Total Score: 29.72