thatoneguyD13 Ballot for 2024 Week 13
Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Nov. 17, 2024, 3:35 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Tier 1. Bit of a scare but night games in Madison are tough. |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Tier 2. Slow start once again but dominant to the end. |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Tier 2. |
| 4 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Tier 3. |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Tier 3. |
| 6 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Tier 3. |
| 7 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
Tier 3. Next week is the test. |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Tier 3. 8-11 is a four way logjam of SEC teams. I think you could make an argument for any order. I think Bama is overall the best of them. |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Tier 3. |
| 10 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Tier 3. |
| 11 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
Tier 3. |
| 12 |
BYU Cougars
|
Tier 3. Tough loss but still top of the Big 12 heap. For now. |
| 13 |
SMU Mustangs
|
Tier 3. |
| 14 |
Boise State Broncos
|
Tier 3. Still my highest ranked G5 but Army is right on their heels. |
| 15 |
Army West Point
|
Tier 4. Beating ND would move them up a tier for sure. |
| 16 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
Tier 4. |
| 17 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Tier 4. Solid win over Pitt makes them clear #3 in ACC. |
| 18 |
Colorado Buffaloes
|
Tier 4. 18-20 are a logjam of 3 Big 12 teams. None of them play each other. Could be any order. |
| 19 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
Tier 4. |
| 20 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
Tier 4. |
| 21 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
Tier 4. If they had pulled out win vs either Alabama or LSU early in the season they'd be borderline top ten now. |
| 22 |
Washington State Cougars
|
|
| 23 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Tier 4. Close call. |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
Tier 4. |
| 25 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.03 |
| 5 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
1.52 |
| 6 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-0.74 |
| 8 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
SMU Mustangs
|
-0.04 |
| 14 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Army West Point
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Colorado Buffaloes
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
-0.03 |
| 22 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.57 |
| 23 |
Missouri Tigers
|
1.71 |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
-0.92 |
UNLV Rebels