Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 4, 2024, 11:09 p.m.

Overall Rationale: The JB Rankings from https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/12nja3j/ranking_the_top_131_fbs_programs_of_the_last_40/ make their way to the r/CFB Poll...and time to put my money where my mouth is, how good are these rankings actually, was the whole series just BS? The JB Rankings are a computer model that, in a nutshell, gives you points for a win, takes away points for a loss, and divides your cumulative score by log(games played + 1). So every team starts out with 0 resume points which go up/down depending on how they play during the year. For each game, opponent record, opponent conference, at what point in the season the game was played, and scoring margin are taken into account. The model rewards you for playing a tough schedule. If you beat a great team, you get a lot of points. If you lose to a great team, you only lose a few points. If you beat a bad team, you only get a few points. If you lose to a bad team, you lose a lot of points. Time to see how accurate this "proprietary ranking algorithm" really is! Side note: this algorithm definitely needs some tweaking for 2024 and beyond. Some of the big names flocking to the SEC/Big Ten has messed up the strength of schedule ratings for each conference.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Oregon Ducks
2	Ohio State Buckeyes
3	BYU Cougars
4	Miami Hurricanes
5	Indiana Hoosiers
6	SMU Mustangs
7	Texas Longhorns
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
9	Alabama Crimson Tide
10	Georgia Bulldogs
11	Boise State Broncos
12	Pittsburgh Panthers
13	Tennessee Volunteers
14	Iowa State Cyclones
15	Penn State Nittany Lions
16	Ole Miss Rebels
17	Texas A&M Aggies
18	Washington State Cougars
19	LSU Tigers
20	Kansas State Wildcats
21	Louisville Cardinals
22	Army West Point
23	Clemson Tigers
24	Colorado Buffaloes
25	Tulane Green Wave

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Oregon Ducks	0.00
2	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.17
3	BYU Cougars	0.32
4	Miami Hurricanes	0.00
5	Indiana Hoosiers	0.00
6	SMU Mustangs	1.08
7	Texas Longhorns	0.00
8	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.32
10	Georgia Bulldogs	-1.27
11	Boise State Broncos	0.00
12	Pittsburgh Panthers	1.10
13	Tennessee Volunteers	-0.37
14	Iowa State Cyclones	0.00
15	Penn State Nittany Lions	-1.55
16	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00
17	Texas A&M Aggies	0.00
18	Washington State Cougars	0.00
19	LSU Tigers	0.00
20	Kansas State Wildcats	0.00
21	Louisville Cardinals	0.28
22	Army West Point	-0.29
23	Clemson Tigers	-0.04
24	Colorado Buffaloes	-0.02
25	Tulane Green Wave	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Vanderbilt Commodores	0.13

Total Score: 6.93