BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2024 Week 11
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 4, 2024, 8:35 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: Army (I don't know why either), Washington, Kansas State, Michigan dropped out.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
+2 |
| 2 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-1 |
| 3 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
+9 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
+5 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
+3 |
| 6 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
no change |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-5 |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-3 |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-5 |
| 10 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
+1 |
| 11 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-1 |
| 12 |
Boise State Broncos
|
+13 |
| 13 |
LSU Tigers
|
no change |
| 14 |
Clemson Tigers
|
-7 |
| 15 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
+2 |
| 16 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
+11 |
| 17 |
BYU Cougars
|
+5 |
| 18 |
SMU Mustangs
|
+3 |
| 19 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
no change |
| 20 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-7 |
| 21 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
+11 |
| 22 |
James Madison Dukes
|
no change |
| 23 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-9 |
| 24 |
Colorado Buffaloes
|
-1 |
| 25 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
+4 |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.73 |
| 2 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-0.12 |
| 3 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.20 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.49 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.58 |
| 6 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-0.08 |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.19 |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
1.00 |
| 11 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.36 |
| 14 |
Clemson Tigers
|
1.16 |
| 15 |
Tulane Green Wave
|
6.36 |
| 16 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
3.49 |
| 17 |
BYU Cougars
|
-2.06 |
| 18 |
SMU Mustangs
|
-1.33 |
| 19 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.17 |
| 20 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-0.22 |
| 21 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
3.63 |
| 22 |
James Madison Dukes
|
3.20 |
| 23 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-1.69 |
| 24 |
Colorado Buffaloes
|
-0.02 |
| 25 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Army West Point
|
1.10 |
Washington State Cougars
|
1.10 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.75 |
Vanderbilt Commodores
|
0.13 |
Total Score: 31.17