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HieloLuz Ballot for 2024 Week 11

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 3, 2024, 12:51 p.m.

Overall Rationale: These rankings are a pure resume based points system. Teams are assigned a tier based on their rating (1-7). Points are gained for wins, subtracted for losses, based on the opponents tier. Small modifiers for game closeness (Win/Loss Bonuses/Penalties = WB, WP, LB, LP) and SOS based on Opponent's record. | If two teams are next to each other in the rankings, and have played head to head, the head to head winner will be ranked higher, regardless of points. | | | | Week 10 | Biggest Riser: Boston College (+22) | Biggest Drop: USC (-28) | New teams: Louisville, Tulane, Colorado, Louisiana | Dropped from rankings: Navy (20), Clemson (21), Memphis (22), Illinois (23) | Next 5: Clemson, UNLV, South Carolina, Western Kentucky, Cincinnati | Worst Team UTEP (-191.170) | | | | Playoff projections *Conference Autobid | | Rose: 1. Oregon* | Sugar: 5. Georgia* | Fiesta: 2. BYU* | Peach: 4. Miami (FL)* | 5 v 12: 12. Army @ 2. Ohio State | 6 v 11: 11. Texas @ 6. Boise State* | 7 v 10: 10. Notre Dame @ 7. Indiana | 8 v 9: 9. SMU @ 8. Alabama | | | |

Rank Team Reason
1 Oregon Ducks Another mid tier win keeps the Ducks firmly at the top. Wins over Boise |Tier 2| and Ohio State |2| are the best of anyone. 180
2 Ohio State Buckeyes Back to back quality wins jumps BYU into 2nd. Multiple early season wins are looking better like Western Michigan |4|, Marshall |4|, and Iowa |4|. 137
3 BYU Cougars They drop a spot on a bye due to Ohio State big win. There's a lot less separation at the top 8 (not counting Oregon) than there has been all season. 123
4 Miami Hurricanes Got a much needed win over Duke |4|, and Louisville |3| jumping into the top 25 is big for their resume. 115
5 Georgia Bulldogs Close one against Florida |4| but a win is a win and Florida looks okay, 2 big tests coming up the next two weeks. 107
6 Boise State Broncos They took care of business, and at this point that's all they can do until championship weekend. 107
7 Indiana Hoosiers Took care of business once again. Nebraska |4| remains their only quality win. 103
8 Alabama Crimson Tide They stay still on a bye, Georgia |2| still holding a lot of weight. Western Kentucky |3| and South Carolina |3| wins are looking better which is helping them remain as the top ranked 2 loss team. 103
9 SMU Mustangs A massive blowout win over previously undefeated Pitt |3| launches SMU into the playoff picture. Only loss on the year is a close one to undefeated BYU |2|. A lot of mid tier teams remaining on their schedule so it won't be a cakewalk. 84
10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish They have a couple of decent wins but the NIU |5| loss will continue to hold them down. Big games down the stretch. 83
11 Texas Longhorns Their points drop a lot on a bye thanks to a lot of their wins looking worse after the week. Vandy |4| remains their only quality win. 62
12 Army West Point They finally crack the top 12, but this schedule is still insanely weak. North Texas |4| and Notre Dame |2| will provide some much needed strength to it as the year ends (if they can win). Fun fact: their opponent win percentage on the year, excluding FCS teams, is 28%. Which is very bad. 58
13 Texas A&M Aggies It was fun while it lasted Aggies. Blowout in South Carolina drops them to their lowest ranking since week 5, but they still have a clear shot at the SEC championship and the playoff. 57
14 Ole Miss Rebels Arkansas |5| win wasn't that meaningful, but South Carolina's |3| jump into the top tiers and a couple of their other wins raising into the mid tiers helps them jump up a bunch. 57
15 Iowa State Cyclones They don't drop much despite the loss, but their only quality wins are Baylor |4| and Iowa |4|. Multiple opportunities for quality wins down the road that they'll have to deliver on. 48
16 Pittsburgh Panthers In their first real challenge of the year they blew it. They have opportunities coming up against Clemson |3| and Louisville |3| to make their case, but another loss ends their playoff dream. 48
17 Tennessee Volunteers Tennessee survived Kentucky |5| but the Alabama |2| win is doing a lot of heavy lifting. Weak schedule will make it hard for them to do anything if they don't win out. 47
18 Penn State Nittany Lions My poll has consistently been down on Penn State this year due to their weak schedule, and they are now the lowest ranked 1 loss P4 team. Most wins are mid tier, but they have no opportunity for a quality win now. Illinois |4| is their best win but even that doesn't look great the longer the season goes on. They've also played a lot of close games against teams they should have beaten easily. 41
19 LSU Tigers Huge drop off in points between #18 and #19. No movement for LSU on the bye. 15
20 Louisville Cardinals Huge win over Clemson |3| launches them into the top 25 for the first time since week 4. They've played a surprisingly strong schedule, but they've lost to all 3 ranked teams they've played. 13
21 Washington State Cougars They go up a bit on the bye. Even if they win out I don't see them getting much higher without some chaos from everyone else. 11
22 Kansas State Wildcats Houston |6| is bad, very bad, and likely ends their playoff hopes despite being 7-2. Head to Head wins over Tulane and Colorado bring them up 2 spots. -1
23 Tulane Green Wave Tulane joins the top 25 with a win over Charlotte. North Texas |4| is their only quality win, but they get Navy |4| and Memphis |4| to end the year, so they still have their shots to go up. 9
24 Colorado Buffaloes Things are looking up for the Buffalo. A lot of wins are turning into quality ones like NDSU |4| Baylor |4|, and Cincinnati |3|. Texas Tech |4| is their last quality opponent, but a win sets them up for a potential Big XII championship game. 3
25 Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns Their lone loss is to Tulane |3|, but they don't have any quality wins, and have played a lot of close games against bad teams. -2

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