Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Oct. 28, 2024, 5:56 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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Tier 1. |
2 |
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Tier 2. A win over OSU would move them to tier 1. A convincing win would likely put them ahead of Oregon. |
3 |
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Tier 2. |
4 |
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Tier 2. Injuries on the offensive line are piling up. Offense needs to be a lot better to stay highly ranked. |
5 |
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Tier 2. |
6 |
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Tier 3. |
7 |
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Tier 3. |
8 |
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Tier 3. If they had beaten NIU they'd probably be #2 right now. |
9 |
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Tier 3. |
10 |
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Tier 3. |
11 |
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Tier 3. 8Windiana. |
12 |
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Tier 3. Easy schedule has helped. Pretty good team though. |
13 |
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Tier 3. |
14 |
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Tier 4. |
15 |
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Tier 4. |
16 |
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Tier 4. |
17 |
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Tier 4. |
18 |
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Tier 4. Solid win against UNLV. Deserving of the top G5 spot right now. |
19 |
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Tier 4. |
20 |
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Tier 4. |
21 |
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Tier 4. |
22 |
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Tier 4. |
23 |
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Tier 4. Despite loss they moved up, as lots of teams in the 20-30 range also lost. Common opponent results keeps them ahead of... |
24 |
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Tier 4. No one is more surprised than I. But the team is legitimately good, though not great. |
25 |
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Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.07 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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-0.25 |
12 |
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-0.10 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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-0.05 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.17 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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0.00 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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0.00 |
No major omissions.
Total Score: 0.65