Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 27, 2024, 11:37 p.m.
Overall Rationale: A team earns more points by beating good teams (per SP+) than by beating bad teams. Vice versa for losses - a team loses more points by losing to bad teams (losses to good teams are forgivable). Margin of victory and other game stats are not accounted for in this ranking. Team Tiers - Tier 1 - FBS SP+ 1-10 Tier 2 - FBS SP+ 11-25 Tier 3 - FBS SP+ 26-50 Tier 4 - FBS SP+ 51-134 Tier 5 - FCS
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Miami Hurricanes | 3 "Tier 2" wins (Florida, Virginia Tech, Louisville). |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 1 Tier 1 win (Texas). 2 Tier 2 wins (Clemson, Auburn). 1 Tier 1 loss (Alabama). I can't explain why ESPN SP+ has Auburn as the #25 team in the country. Take it up with Bill Connelly. |
3 | Texas A&M Aggies | 3 Tier 2 wins (Florida, Missouri, LSU). 1 Tier 1 loss (Notre Dame). |
4 | BYU Cougars | 2 Tier 2 wins (SMU, Kansas State). |
5 | Oregon Ducks | 1 Tier 1 win (Ohio State). |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1 Tier 2 win (USC). |
7 | Tennessee Volunteers | 1 Tier 1 win (Alabama). 1 Tier 2 win (Florida). 1 Tier 3 loss (Arkansas). |
8 | Iowa State Cyclones | 1 Tier 2 win (Iowa). |
9 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 wins. Best win - SP+ #31 Nebraska. |
10 | Texas Longhorns | T-10. 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 wins. 1 Tier 1 loss (Georgia). Best win - SP+ #32 Oklahoma. |
11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | T-10. 1 Tier 1 win (Georgia). 1 Tier 2 win (Missouri). 1 Tier 1 loss (Tennessee). 1 Tier 4 loss (Vanderbilt). In other words, Alabama has a great win and a good win, a forgivable loss, and a bad loss. |
12 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 2 Tier 1 losses (Penn State, Oregon). Illinois played and lost the only two Tier 1/2 games on its schedule, so far. |
13 | Ohio State Buckeyes | T-13. 1 Tier 2 win (Iowa). 1 Tier 1 loss (Oregon). This one will probably surprise most people, but, seriously, who has Ohio State beat this season? Their best win is against Iowa. They're not really making a point for a Top 10 spot at this point in the season. |
14 | LSU Tigers | T-13. 1 Tier 1 win (Ole Miss). 2 Tier 2 losses (USC, Texas A&M). |
15 | Pittsburgh Panthers | T-13. 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 wins. Best win - SP+ #34 Cal. |
16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 2 Tier 2 wins (Texas A&M, Louisville). 1 Tier 4 loss (Northern Illinois). |
17 | SMU Mustangs | 1 Tier 2 win (Louisville). 1 Tier 3 loss (BYU). |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 wins. 1 Tier 3 loss (BYU). Best win - SP+ #37 Colorado. |
19 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 1 Tier 1 win (Alabama). 1 Tier 2 win (Virginia Tech). 1 Tier 1 loss (Texas). 1 Tier 2 loss (Missouri). 1 Tier 4 loss (Georgia State). |
20 | Clemson Tigers | T-20. 1 Tier 1 loss (Georgia). Best win - SP+ #51 NC State. Clemson has looked dang good since getting shellacked by Georgia in the season-opener, albeit, however, against some pretty bad teams. They might sneak into the playoff this year by beating a bunch of nobodies. |
21 | Missouri Tigers | T-20. 1 Tier 2 win (Auburn). 1 Tier 1 loss (Alabama). 1 Tier 2 loss (Texas A&M) |
22 | Arkansas Razorbacks | T-20. 1 Tier 1 win (Tennessee). 1 Tier 2 win (Auburn). 2 Tier 2 losses (Texas A&M, LSU). 1 Tier 4 loss (Oklahoma State). Auburn is propping up every SEC team - if it weren't for SP+'s like for them, teams like Arkansas and Missouri probably wouldn't be ranked. |
23 | Army West Point | T-20. 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 (or Tier 3!) wins. Best win - SP+ #93 East Carolina. |
24 | Boise State Broncos | T-24. 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 wins. 1 Tier 1 loss (Oregon). Best win - SP+ #48 Washington State. |
25 | Navy Midshipmen | T-24. 0 Tier 1 or Tier 2 wins. 1 Tier 1 loss (Notre Dame). Best win - SP+ #50 Memphis. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.89 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
3 | Texas A&M Aggies | 1.96 |
4 | BYU Cougars | 0.24 |
5 | Oregon Ducks | -2.95 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | -0.46 |
7 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.23 |
8 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
9 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0.00 |
10 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.28 |
12 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 4.09 |
13 | Ohio State Buckeyes | -1.01 |
14 | LSU Tigers | 0.82 |
15 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
16 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -0.80 |
17 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
18 | Kansas State Wildcats | -0.13 |
19 | Vanderbilt Commodores | 5.78 |
20 | Clemson Tigers | -1.02 |
21 | Missouri Tigers | 2.51 |
22 | Arkansas Razorbacks | 3.19 |
23 | Army West Point | -0.13 |
24 | Boise State Broncos | -1.62 |
25 | Navy Midshipmen | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Ole Miss Rebels | 0.73 |
Washington State Cougars | 0.94 |
Colorado Buffaloes | 0.64 |
Total Score: 30.41