Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 27, 2024, 8:19 p.m.
Overall Rationale: The JB Rankings from https://www.reddit.com/r/CFB/comments/12nja3j/ranking_the_top_131_fbs_programs_of_the_last_40/ make their way to the r/CFB Poll...and time to put my money where my mouth is, how good are these rankings actually, was the whole series just BS? The JB Rankings are a computer model that, in a nutshell, gives you points for a win, takes away points for a loss, and divides your cumulative score by log(games played + 1). So every team starts out with 0 resume points which go up/down depending on how they play during the year. For each game, opponent record, opponent conference, at what point in the season the game was played, and scoring margin are taken into account. The model rewards you for playing a tough schedule. If you beat a great team, you get a lot of points. If you lose to a great team, you only lose a few points. If you beat a bad team, you only get a few points. If you lose to a bad team, you lose a lot of points. Time to see how accurate this "proprietary ranking algorithm" really is! Side note: this algorithm definitely needs some tweaking for 2024 and beyond. Some of the big names flocking to the SEC/Big Ten has messed up the strength of schedule ratings for each conference.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | |
2 | BYU Cougars | |
3 | Penn State Nittany Lions | |
4 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | |
5 | Pittsburgh Panthers | |
6 | Indiana Hoosiers | |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | |
8 | Texas Longhorns | |
9 | Ohio State Buckeyes | |
10 | Iowa State Cyclones | |
11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | |
12 | Texas A&M Aggies | |
13 | SMU Mustangs | |
14 | Georgia Bulldogs | |
15 | Tennessee Volunteers | |
16 | Boise State Broncos | |
17 | Kansas State Wildcats | |
18 | Clemson Tigers | |
19 | Washington State Cougars | |
20 | Ole Miss Rebels | |
21 | LSU Tigers | |
22 | Army West Point | |
23 | Colorado Buffaloes | |
24 | Tulane Green Wave | |
25 | UNLV Rebels |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
2 | BYU Cougars | 0.76 |
3 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
4 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 1.06 |
5 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 1.14 |
6 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0.00 |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
8 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
9 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
10 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
11 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.28 |
12 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.00 |
13 | SMU Mustangs | 0.88 |
14 | Georgia Bulldogs | -1.51 |
15 | Tennessee Volunteers | -0.19 |
16 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
17 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
18 | Clemson Tigers | -0.54 |
19 | Washington State Cougars | 0.17 |
20 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
21 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
22 | Army West Point | 0.00 |
23 | Colorado Buffaloes | 0.00 |
24 | Tulane Green Wave | 0.94 |
25 | UNLV Rebels | 0.13 |