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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2024 Week 10

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 27, 2024, 9:08 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 10 notes: Deservedness keeping highly-rated 2-loss teams such as Illinois and LSU behind 0-loss Army; UNLV can be ranked over due to loss allowance. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = Team A cannot be ranked over Team B that has 2+ fewer losses (ex: 9-3 LSU can be ranked over 10-2 Missouri, but 9-3 LSU cannot be ranked over 11-1 Tulane even if LSU beat Tulane heads up, rankings have LSU over Tulane, and/or I think LSU is better than Tulane) unless Team B is giving a X loss allowance to Team A due to significantly fewer P4 games played. Loss allowances come into play when: P5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 games, 10-8=2, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); P5 teams play 6 fewer P5 games than a G5 team (11-1 Syracuse plays 8 P5 teams, 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 teams, 8-2=6, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Syracuse); G5 teams play 10 fewer P5 teams than a P5 team (ex: 9-3 Arizona plays 10 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 10-0=0, 9-3 Arizona can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty); or G5 teams play 2 fewer P5 games than another G5 team (ex: 9-3 Charlotte plays 2 P5 games, 11-1 Liberty plays 0 P5 games, 2-0=2, 9-3 Charlotte can be ranked over 11-1 Liberty). If the game differential exceeds more than 2/6/10/2 in those scenarios, add another loss allowance for each additional P5 game played difference in that scenario.

Rank Team Reason
1 Oregon Ducks +0. Would be the #1 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #8 Indiana/#9 Tennessee in the Rose Bowl
2 Ohio State Buckeyes +0. Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #12 Boise State in the first round
3 Penn State Nittany Lions +0. Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #11 Notre Dame in the first round
4 Miami Hurricanes +0. Would be the #2 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #7 Texas/#10 Clemson in the Peach Bowl
5 Georgia Bulldogs +0. Would be the #3 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #6 Penn State/#11 Notre Dame in the Sugar Bowl
6 Texas Longhorns +0. Would be the #7 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #10 Clemson in the first round
7 Indiana Hoosiers +2. Would be the #8 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #9 Clemson in the first round
8 Tennessee Volunteers +0. Would be the #9 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #8 Indiana in the first round
9 BYU Cougars +1. Would be the #4 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #5 Ohio State/#12 Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl
10 Clemson Tigers +1. Would be the #10 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #7 Texas in the first round
11 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1. Would be the #11 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #6 Penn State in the first round
12 Texas A&M Aggies +2
13 Iowa State Cyclones +0
14 Kansas State Wildcats +1
15 SMU Mustangs +2
16 Pittsburgh Panthers +3
17 Boise State Broncos +3. Would be the #12 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #6 Ohio State in the first round. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 2-loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Illinois from being ranked ahead of Army
18 UNLV Rebels +4. Loss allowance over Army due to grandfathered P5/G5 schedule. Even though they lost, still have them rated over Washington State
19 Washington State Cougars +4. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 2-loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Illinois from being ranked ahead of Army
20 Navy Midshipmen +4. Deservedness blocking highly-rated 2-loss teams with no loss allowances over Army such as Illinois from being ranked ahead of Army. Even though they lost, still have them rated over Army
21 Army West Point NEW. Lowest-rated 0-loss team
22 Illinois Fighting Illini -6. Deservedness blocking them from being ranked higher
23 LSU Tigers -16. Deservedness blocking them from being ranked higher
24 Alabama Crimson Tide NEW. Deservedness blocking them from being ranked higher
25 Colorado Buffaloes NEW. Deservedness blocking them from being ranked higher. Next 18: Ole Miss, Missouri, Syracuse, Florida (loss allowance over Louisiana & Memphis), TCU (same), Duke, Tulane, Arizona State, Louisiana, ULM, JMU, WKU, Memphis, Nebraska (loss allowance over Liberty), Vanderbilt (same), Wisconsin (same), Texas Tech (same), Cincinnati (same)

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