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BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2024 Week 8

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 13, 2024, 8:16 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: USC, West Virginia, Oklahoma (OU SUCKS! I can say this and be unbiased because it's a computer model) dropped out.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes no change - going to keep the model rankings here because yes Oregon did beat them, but it was extremely close and Oregon had home-field advantage. So you could definitely make the argument that OSU is the better team on a neutral site. I don't necessarily agree with that argument though.
2 Texas Longhorns no change
3 Oregon Ducks no change (see Ohio State reasoning)
4 Georgia Bulldogs +1
5 Clemson Tigers +7
6 Penn State Nittany Lions -2
7 Tennessee Volunteers no change
8 Alabama Crimson Tide -2
9 Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1
10 Ole Miss Rebels -1, similar to OSU reasoning. Model puts them above LSU and I realize they just lost head-to-head, but it went to OT at Death Valley so maybe that says something?
11 LSU Tigers -3
12 James Madison Dukes +5
13 Miami Hurricanes -2
14 Iowa State Cyclones no change
15 Tulane Green Wave +1
16 Texas A&M Aggies -3
17 BYU Cougars +6
18 Boise State Broncos +6
19 Indiana Hoosiers -1
20 Missouri Tigers +1
21 Army West Point +1
22 Washington Huskies -7, again going with the model but for real, giving up 40 to Iowa should make you automatically drop out.
23 Louisville Cardinals +13
24 Wisconsin Badgers +27
25 Michigan Wolverines +1, but my Michigan friends disagree with this and insist they should be unranked

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