Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 13, 2024, 3:12 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 8 notes: Deservedness keeping 2-loss Ole Miss behind 0-loss Army and Navy and making spots wonky at the bottom. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 3-2 Kentucky can be ranked over 5-1 Ole Miss, but 3-2 Kentucky cannot be ranked over 4-0 Liberty even if Kentucky beat Liberty heads up, rankings have Kentucky over Liberty, and/or I think Kentucky is better than Liberty)
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Would be the #1 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #8 Georgia/#9 LSU in the quarterfinals |
2 |
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Would be the #2 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #7 Alabama/#10 Clemson in the quarterfinals |
3 |
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Would be the #5 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #12 Boise State in the first round |
4 |
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Would be the #6 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #11 Tennessee in the first round |
5 |
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Would be the #3 playoff seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #6 Penn State/#11 Tennessee in the quarterfinals |
6 |
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Would be the #7 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #10 Clemson in the first round |
7 |
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Would be the #8 playoff seed in this scenario, hosting #9 LSU in the first round |
8 |
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Would be the #9 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #8 Georgia in the first round |
9 |
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Would be the #10 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #7 Alabama in the first round |
10 |
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Would be the #11 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #6 Penn State in the first round |
11 |
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Would be the #4 seed in this scenario, playing the winner of #5 Ohio State/#12 BYU in the quarterfinals |
12 |
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13 |
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14 |
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15 |
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16 |
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17 |
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18 |
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19 |
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20 |
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Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army |
21 |
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Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army |
22 |
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Would be the #12 playoff seed in this scenario, playing at #5 Ohio State in the first round |
23 |
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Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army |
24 |
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Deservedness blocking 2-loss teams such as Ole Miss from being ranked in front of 0-loss Army |
25 |
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Next 8: Texas Tech, Arizona State, Duke, ULM, James Madison, Navy, Army, Ole Miss |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.05 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.09 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.32 |
9 |
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0.03 |
10 |
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0.14 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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-1.24 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.31 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.03 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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0.40 |
22 |
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-0.52 |
23 |
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1.21 |
24 |
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1.09 |
25 |
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0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.36 |
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0.24 |
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0.17 |
Total Score: 6.21