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BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2024 Week 7

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Oct. 6, 2024, 11:46 p.m.

Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: UNLV, Michigan, Louisville, Iowa, South Carolina dropped out.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes no change
2 Texas Longhorns no change
3 Oregon Ducks +2
4 Penn State Nittany Lions +3
5 Georgia Bulldogs -1
6 Alabama Crimson Tide -3
7 Tennessee Volunteers -1
8 LSU Tigers no change
9 Ole Miss Rebels no change
10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish no change
11 Miami Hurricanes no change
12 Clemson Tigers +7
13 Texas A&M Aggies +9
14 Iowa State Cyclones +3
15 Washington Huskies no change
16 Tulane Green Wave +9, really the most confusing move of the week. I think the model likes blowouts, let's see if Tulane is as good as they looked last week.
17 James Madison Dukes -5
18 Indiana Hoosiers +6
19 USC Trojans -6
20 West Virginia Mountaineers +28, not sure what the model likes about them. Impressive win @Oklahoma State but still a 2 loss team.
21 Missouri Tigers -7, what a brutal loss.
22 Army West Point +23
23 BYU Cougars +4. Finally got ranked by the model!
24 Boise State Broncos -3
25 Oklahoma Sooners +6

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