Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Oct. 6, 2024, 9:36 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Texas Longhorns | Tier 1. |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Tier 1. |
3 | Oregon Ducks | Tier 2. |
4 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Tier 2. |
5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Tier 2. Win over Georgia is still the best win anyone has right now. |
6 | Georgia Bulldogs | Tier 2. |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | Tier 3. Not moving them down due to other losses, but definitely less confident in them after Cal game. |
8 | BYU Cougars | Tier 3. Wins over SMU and Kansas State look pretty good at this point. Hard to argue they don't deserve to be ranked highly. |
9 | Iowa State Cyclones | Tier 3. I'm surprised too. But undefeated and a few decent wins. |
10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Tier 4. Terrible loss, but two solid wins put them up here for now. |
11 | Texas A&M Aggies | Tier 4. Win over Mizzou was dominant, and win over Arkansas looks better after this week. |
12 | Utah Utes | Tier 4. |
13 | Ole Miss Rebels | Tier 4. |
14 | LSU Tigers | Tier 4. |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | Tier 4. |
16 | Tennessee Volunteers | Tier 4. |
17 | Clemson Tigers | Tier 4. |
18 | Oklahoma Sooners | Tier 4. |
19 | SMU Mustangs | Tier 4. One loss to a top ten team and a few solid wins. |
20 | Pittsburgh Panthers | Tier 4. No dominant showings against FBS opponents but still undefeated. |
21 | Boise State Broncos | Tier 4. Close loss to top 5 team and a solid win over WSU. |
22 | Indiana Hoosiers | Tier 4. 6windiana |
23 | Missouri Tigers | Tier 4. BC win looks worse and destruction at the hands of A&M drop them a lot. |
24 | Washington State Cougars | Tier 4. One of the tougher schedules so far. Three good wins. |
25 | Illinois Fighting Illini | Tier 4. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
3 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
4 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.29 |
6 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
8 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
9 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
10 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.29 |
11 | Texas A&M Aggies | 0.44 |
12 | Utah Utes | 1.42 |
13 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
14 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
15 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.12 |
16 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
17 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
18 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
19 | SMU Mustangs | 0.00 |
20 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.00 |
21 | Boise State Broncos | 0.00 |
22 | Indiana Hoosiers | -0.86 |
23 | Missouri Tigers | 0.00 |
24 | Washington State Cougars | 0.00 |
25 | Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.00 |
No major omissions.
Total Score: 3.43