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Pablo49 Ballot for 2024 Week 7

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 6, 2024, 11:06 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Each game, the winning team "steals" a portion of their opponents points. This starts with a base 40% of opponent's points, plus up to 1% bonus based on margin of victory and home/away status. This 40% base decreases as the weeks go on (down to 17.5% by postseason), this is done to limit large swings as the season progresses. The season is ran both forwards and backwards (For example on week 10, the poll calculates weeks 1->10 and then weeks 10->1) and then averages those. This limits being destroyed by a week 1 loss, etc. Starting points are assigned as follows: P5: 500, G5: 400, FCS: 200. The goal of this poll is to (mostly) treat P5 and G5 the same, and rank deserving teams. G5 is punished slightly in the pre-season calculations (20% less points), and even less in current season (~10% less than P5). This is ranking the most "deserving" teams and not an attempt to rank the "best" teams or to be predictive. For example, being ranked above another team does not imply you are the better team or should beat a lower team, just that you had better performance in your season. While this is not a particularly statistical method, as the season develops the top 10 especially usually shake out pretty decently. In the 4 years I have ran this poll (with some revisions), this poll has repeatedly produced the same CFP top 4 (not always, and usually different seeds). This is first week my poll uses only current season data to rank.

Rank Team Reason
1 Texas Longhorns 2772
2 Oregon Ducks 2709
3 Miami Hurricanes 2708 - worry not the ACC also sent me the script so I could rank them "correctly"
4 BYU Cougars 2696
5 Indiana Hoosiers 2642
6 Penn State Nittany Lions 2578
7 Ohio State Buckeyes 2443
8 Iowa State Cyclones 2439
9 Pittsburgh Panthers 2422
10 Texas Tech Red Raiders 2259
11 Washington State Cougars 2187
12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2008
13 Alabama Crimson Tide 1971 - Anchors Down. Vanderbilt now #38 in my computer, they just had so little points going into the game this win isn't enough for them to get ranked
14 Texas A&M Aggies 1968
15 Nebraska Cornhuskers 1847
16 Duke Blue Devils 1841
17 Missouri Tigers 1824
18 Georgia Bulldogs 1805
19 Navy Midshipmen 1770
20 Virginia Cavaliers 1755
21 Syracuse Orange 1744
22 Illinois Fighting Illini 1676
23 Clemson Tigers 1647
24 Kansas State Wildcats 1617
25 Army West Point 1617

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