Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 6, 2024, 9:51 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Based on teams' performance relative to their opponents' opponents, with adjustments for quality wins/losses. The loss adjustment is stronger than usual at the moment, due to the high performance of the top teams. Once someone scores more than 2 TDs against the longhorns, the one-loss P5 teams will overtake the undefeated G5 folks.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Handling a tough Iowa team gives them the edge here. |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Handling OU next week could get them to #1. |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Top-class team, save for an average passing offense. |
| 4 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
I know... but they've handled everybody they've faced well, save for run defense. If you don't like this, beat them. |
| 5 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
Offense is top tier. Nebraska will be a good test in 2 weeks. |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Great running offense; great scoring defense. |
| 7 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Great offense, but best win so far is against... Virginia Tech? |
| 8 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
They just keep winning. If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
The loss to Kentucky really hurt a top-tier offense. |
| 10 |
BYU Cougars
|
They just keep winning. If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
| 11 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
The loss to Washington hurt them about as much as the win against USC helped them. |
| 12 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
They can pass, they can score, but Bama's stock dropping hurts. |
| 13 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
Run run run... win win win... If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
| 14 |
Washington State Cougars
|
The loss to Boise State hurt as much as the wins against Washingtion & Texas Tech helped combined. |
| 15 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
The loss to Northern Illinois still stings. |
| 16 |
Army West Point
|
Run run run... win win win... If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
| 17 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
|
Like Washington State, as long as Washington keeps performing well, that win will be a boost. |
| 18 |
LSU Tigers
|
The loss to USC really stings. |
| 19 |
Liberty Flames
|
They haven't gotten to play enough to lose. If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
| 20 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
Top-tier defense, but the loss to Notre Dame still hurts. |
| 21 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
Again, Top-tier defense, and the win against Ole Miss offset the loss to Georgia, but the loss to South Carolina is weighing them down. |
| 22 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
Tech is a middle of the road team, but they've strung together enough mid-tier wins in Arizona/State & Cincy to be here. |
| 23 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
You lost to Vandy, and that quality win against Georgia isn't as big as it looked. And you lost to Vandy. |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
The loss to Oregon doesn't hurt that much, so they just have to keep winning. |
| 25 |
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
|
This may be a quirk of the model; yes, the offense is bottom tier, but the loss to the longhorns (the top performer) doesn't hurt at all, and the win against James Madison gave a significant bump. |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.91 |
| 5 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
0.76 |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
0.96 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.08 |
| 10 |
BYU Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
6.40 |
| 12 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.24 |
| 13 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
1.44 |
| 14 |
Washington State Cougars
|
3.94 |
| 15 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Army West Point
|
0.96 |
| 17 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
|
7.91 |
| 18 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Liberty Flames
|
4.96 |
| 20 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-0.19 |
| 21 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
3.93 |
| 22 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-2.53 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
-0.46 |
| 25 |
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks
|
0.05 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Tennessee Volunteers
|
2.05 |
Clemson Tigers
|
1.57 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
1.17 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.63 |
Utah Utes
|
0.58 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.41 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.39 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
0.24 |
Total Score: 42.73