Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 6, 2024, 9:51 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Based on teams' performance relative to their opponents' opponents, with adjustments for quality wins/losses. The loss adjustment is stronger than usual at the moment, due to the high performance of the top teams. Once someone scores more than 2 TDs against the longhorns, the one-loss P5 teams will overtake the undefeated G5 folks.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Handling a tough Iowa team gives them the edge here. |
2 | Texas Longhorns | Handling OU next week could get them to #1. |
3 | Oregon Ducks | Top-class team, save for an average passing offense. |
4 | Iowa State Cyclones | I know... but they've handled everybody they've faced well, save for run defense. If you don't like this, beat them. |
5 | Indiana Hoosiers | Offense is top tier. Nebraska will be a good test in 2 weeks. |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Great running offense; great scoring defense. |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | Great offense, but best win so far is against... Virginia Tech? |
8 | Pittsburgh Panthers | They just keep winning. If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
9 | Ole Miss Rebels | The loss to Kentucky really hurt a top-tier offense. |
10 | BYU Cougars | They just keep winning. If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
11 | Michigan Wolverines | The loss to Washington hurt them about as much as the win against USC helped them. |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | They can pass, they can score, but Bama's stock dropping hurts. |
13 | Navy Midshipmen | Run run run... win win win... If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
14 | Washington State Cougars | The loss to Boise State hurt as much as the wins against Washingtion & Texas Tech helped combined. |
15 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | The loss to Northern Illinois still stings. |
16 | Army West Point | Run run run... win win win... If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
17 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | Like Washington State, as long as Washington keeps performing well, that win will be a boost. |
18 | LSU Tigers | The loss to USC really stings. |
19 | Liberty Flames | They haven't gotten to play enough to lose. If you don't like this ranking, beat them. |
20 | Texas A&M Aggies | Top-tier defense, but the loss to Notre Dame still hurts. |
21 | Kentucky Wildcats | Again, Top-tier defense, and the win against Ole Miss offset the loss to Georgia, but the loss to South Carolina is weighing them down. |
22 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Tech is a middle of the road team, but they've strung together enough mid-tier wins in Arizona/State & Cincy to be here. |
23 | Alabama Crimson Tide | You lost to Vandy, and that quality win against Georgia isn't as big as it looked. And you lost to Vandy. |
24 | Boise State Broncos | The loss to Oregon doesn't hurt that much, so they just have to keep winning. |
25 | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | This may be a quirk of the model; yes, the offense is bottom tier, but the loss to the longhorns (the top performer) doesn't hurt at all, and the win against James Madison gave a significant bump. |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
2 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
3 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
4 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.91 |
5 | Indiana Hoosiers | 0.76 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
7 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
8 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 0.96 |
9 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.08 |
10 | BYU Cougars | 0.00 |
11 | Michigan Wolverines | 6.40 |
12 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.24 |
13 | Navy Midshipmen | 1.44 |
14 | Washington State Cougars | 3.94 |
15 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
16 | Army West Point | 0.96 |
17 | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 7.91 |
18 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
19 | Liberty Flames | 4.96 |
20 | Texas A&M Aggies | -0.19 |
21 | Kentucky Wildcats | 3.93 |
22 | Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0.00 |
23 | Alabama Crimson Tide | -2.53 |
24 | Boise State Broncos | -0.46 |
25 | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | 0.05 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Tennessee Volunteers | 2.05 |
Clemson Tigers | 1.57 |
Kansas State Wildcats | 1.17 |
Oklahoma Sooners | 0.63 |
Utah Utes | 0.58 |
SMU Mustangs | 0.41 |
Missouri Tigers | 0.39 |
Illinois Fighting Illini | 0.24 |
Total Score: 42.73