Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 30, 2024, midnight
Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: Fresno State, Utah, Oklahoma dropped out.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
+1 |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-1 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
no change |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
no change |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
+4 |
| 6 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
+4 |
| 7 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
+1 |
| 8 |
LSU Tigers
|
+3 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
-3 |
| 10 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
-3 |
| 11 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-6 |
| 12 |
James Madison Dukes
|
+31 |
| 13 |
USC Trojans
|
-1 |
| 14 |
Missouri Tigers
|
+4 |
| 15 |
Washington Huskies
|
+4 |
| 16 |
UNLV Rebels
|
+28 |
| 17 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-1 |
| 18 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-5 |
| 19 |
Clemson Tigers
|
+1 |
| 20 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
-5 |
| 21 |
Boise State Broncos
|
+9 |
| 22 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
-8 |
| 23 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
no change |
| 24 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-7 |
| 25 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
-4, I forced out Tulane at #25 because they have 2 losses and South Carolina is more deserving (BYU, the next team out, is probably even more deserving but I'll use the model rank-order for now). |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.26 |
| 2 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-0.31 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.08 |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.29 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.80 |
| 10 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.73 |
| 11 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
James Madison Dukes
|
3.24 |
| 13 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Missouri Tigers
|
-0.56 |
| 15 |
Washington Huskies
|
10.20 |
| 16 |
UNLV Rebels
|
0.62 |
| 17 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-0.04 |
| 18 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-0.22 |
| 19 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.28 |
| 21 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.12 |
| 23 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
1.80 |
| 24 |
Indiana Hoosiers
|
-0.34 |
| 25 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
BYU Cougars
|
1.47 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.80 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.62 |
Utah Utes
|
0.50 |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
|
0.08 |
Total Score: 25.36