Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Sept. 29, 2024, 1:21 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Early season rankings are based largely on expected results versus other ranked teams, and as the season goes leans more heavily on actual resume. By the end of the season, rankings are based entirely on resume. I lean heavily into head to head results and results against common opponents. I also sort teams into 6 tiers based on championship/playoff likelihood. Tier 1: Championship Frontrunners, near lock to make playoffs Tier 2: Championship Contenders with excellent chance of making playoffs Tier 3: Decent possibility to make playoffs, unlikely to compete for championship Tier 4: Outside playoff shot Tier 5: Unlikely to make playoffs but not quite eliminated Tier 6: No shot at playoffs
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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Tier 1. |
2 |
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Tier 1. Likely the best win so far this year. |
3 |
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Tier 1. |
4 |
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Tier 2. Boise State close call is actually turning into a quality win. |
5 |
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Tier 2. Illinois is a decent team and Penn State was clearly better. |
6 |
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Tier 2. Tough loss, but staying in it till the fourth and almost coming back gets them some points. Still a team I expect to see in the playoffs. |
7 |
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Tier 2. An escape like that against a lesser conference opponent at home might hurt the Hurricanes other weeks but losses above them move them up. Considered moving them down a tier but they're still the class of the ACC. For now. |
8 |
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Tier 3. BC win still looks solid. |
9 |
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Tier 3. |
10 |
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Tier 3. I am giving serious benefit of the doubt to Utah considering they are playing with their backup QB. If Cam Rising misses a bunch more time then I may no longer do that. Until then, I still think this is the best team in the Big 12. |
11 |
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Tier 4. |
12 |
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Tier 4. Did not look great against Minnesota but a win is a win. |
13 |
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Tier 4. Solid win over a decent Wisconsin team. |
14 |
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Tier 4. |
15 |
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Tier 4. Don't know what to make of this team, or Kentucky. |
16 |
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Tier 4. |
17 |
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Tier 4. |
18 |
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Tier 4. Road win against conference opponent is never easy, plus KSU and SMU wins are looking pretty good. |
19 |
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Tier 4. Two wins over good teams and one loss to a bad one. |
20 |
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Tier 4. |
21 |
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Tier 4. Great win over good Ok State team |
22 |
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Tier 4. |
23 |
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Tier 4. |
24 |
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Tier 4. Close loss on road to top 5 team and a great win over previously ranked WSU? Heisman candidate RB? That's worth a spot. |
25 |
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Tier 4. 5Windiana |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.15 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.29 |
5 |
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0.09 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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-0.91 |
10 |
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2.48 |
11 |
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0.05 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.03 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.42 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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-0.05 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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0.28 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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2.69 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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-0.51 |