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MADBuc49 Ballot for 2024 Week 4

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Sept. 16, 2024, 11:06 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Week 14 notes: somewhat wacky in that a bunch of ranked teams won't be ranked later on, but not wacky in that most teams that aren't ranked right now won't be ranked later on either. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 1-2 Kentucky can be ranked over 2-1 Texas Tech, but 1-2 Kentucky cannot be ranked over 3-0 Coastal Carolina even if Kentucky beat Coastal Carolina heads up, rankings have Kentucky over Coastal Carolina, and/or I think Kentucky is better than Coastal Carolina)

Rank Team Reason
1 Texas Longhorns Not counting injury to Quinn Ewers as bad until we see Arch Manning do terrible, mostly due to Michigan win; would be #1 seed in 12-team playoff
2 Ole Miss Rebels Not a lot of competition, but have jettisoned everyone so far; would be #5 seed in 12-team playoff
3 Tennessee Volunteers Difference between 1-3 is negligible; would be #6 seed in 12-team playoff
4 Miami Hurricanes Don't really believe Miami is the 4th-best team, they've just been most consistent so far; would be #2 seed in 12-team playoff
5 Alabama Crimson Tide Think they got coaches putting foots in butts after USF game; would be #7 seed in 12-team playoff
6 Missouri Tigers Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #8 seed in 12-team playoff
7 Ohio State Buckeyes Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #3 seed in 12-team playoff
8 Georgia Bulldogs Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #9 seed in 12-team playoff
9 Penn State Nittany Lions Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #10 seed in 12-team playoff
10 Louisville Cardinals Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #11 seed in 12-team playoff
11 USC Trojans
12 Oklahoma State Cowboys
13 Kansas State Wildcats
14 Utah Utes
15 Oregon Ducks
16 Michigan Wolverines
17 LSU Tigers
18 Oklahoma Sooners
19 Clemson Tigers
20 Nebraska Cornhuskers
21 Iowa State Cyclones
22 Washington State Cougars
23 Northern Illinois Huskies I don't think they're the best G5 team, but it's too early to dissect every single little on-field metric at this point; would be #12 seed in 12-team playoff
24 Notre Dame Fighting Irish I think they win the NIU game 9/10 times, but they have a high ceiling and low floor
25 UNLV Rebels I think they are playing the best of the G5 teams so far

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