Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 16, 2024, 11:06 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 14 notes: somewhat wacky in that a bunch of ranked teams won't be ranked later on, but not wacky in that most teams that aren't ranked right now won't be ranked later on either. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 1-2 Kentucky can be ranked over 2-1 Texas Tech, but 1-2 Kentucky cannot be ranked over 3-0 Coastal Carolina even if Kentucky beat Coastal Carolina heads up, rankings have Kentucky over Coastal Carolina, and/or I think Kentucky is better than Coastal Carolina)
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Not counting injury to Quinn Ewers as bad until we see Arch Manning do terrible, mostly due to Michigan win; would be #1 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 2 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
Not a lot of competition, but have jettisoned everyone so far; would be #5 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 3 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
Difference between 1-3 is negligible; would be #6 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 4 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
Don't really believe Miami is the 4th-best team, they've just been most consistent so far; would be #2 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Think they got coaches putting foots in butts after USF game; would be #7 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 6 |
Missouri Tigers
|
Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #8 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 7 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #3 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #9 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #10 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 10 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #11 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 11 |
USC Trojans
|
|
| 12 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
|
| 13 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
|
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
|
| 15 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 16 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
|
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 18 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
|
| 19 |
Clemson Tigers
|
|
| 20 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
|
| 21 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
|
| 22 |
Washington State Cougars
|
|
| 23 |
Northern Illinois Huskies
|
I don't think they're the best G5 team, but it's too early to dissect every single little on-field metric at this point; would be #12 seed in 12-team playoff |
| 24 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
I think they win the NIU game 9/10 times, but they have a high ceiling and low floor |
| 25 |
UNLV Rebels
|
I think they are playing the best of the G5 teams so far |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.42 |
| 3 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.19 |
| 4 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.52 |
| 5 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.45 |
| 9 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
1.70 |
| 11 |
USC Trojans
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-0.80 |
| 16 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.65 |
| 17 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.34 |
| 18 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.27 |
| 20 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Northern Illinois Huskies
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
UNLV Rebels
|
0.00 |
No major omissions.
Total Score: 5.33