Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 16, 2024, 11:06 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 14 notes: somewhat wacky in that a bunch of ranked teams won't be ranked later on, but not wacky in that most teams that aren't ranked right now won't be ranked later on either. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 1-2 Kentucky can be ranked over 2-1 Texas Tech, but 1-2 Kentucky cannot be ranked over 3-0 Coastal Carolina even if Kentucky beat Coastal Carolina heads up, rankings have Kentucky over Coastal Carolina, and/or I think Kentucky is better than Coastal Carolina)
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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Not counting injury to Quinn Ewers as bad until we see Arch Manning do terrible, mostly due to Michigan win; would be #1 seed in 12-team playoff |
2 |
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Not a lot of competition, but have jettisoned everyone so far; would be #5 seed in 12-team playoff |
3 |
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Difference between 1-3 is negligible; would be #6 seed in 12-team playoff |
4 |
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Don't really believe Miami is the 4th-best team, they've just been most consistent so far; would be #2 seed in 12-team playoff |
5 |
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Think they got coaches putting foots in butts after USF game; would be #7 seed in 12-team playoff |
6 |
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Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #8 seed in 12-team playoff |
7 |
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Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #3 seed in 12-team playoff |
8 |
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Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #9 seed in 12-team playoff |
9 |
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Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #10 seed in 12-team playoff |
10 |
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Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #11 seed in 12-team playoff |
11 |
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12 |
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13 |
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14 |
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15 |
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16 |
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17 |
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18 |
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19 |
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20 |
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21 |
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22 |
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23 |
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I don't think they're the best G5 team, but it's too early to dissect every single little on-field metric at this point; would be #12 seed in 12-team playoff |
24 |
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I think they win the NIU game 9/10 times, but they have a high ceiling and low floor |
25 |
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I think they are playing the best of the G5 teams so far |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
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1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.42 |
3 |
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0.19 |
4 |
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0.52 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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-0.45 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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1.70 |
11 |
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0.00 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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-0.80 |
16 |
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0.65 |
17 |
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0.34 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.27 |
20 |
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0.00 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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0.00 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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0.00 |
No major omissions.
Total Score: 5.33