Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Sept. 16, 2024, 11:06 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 14 notes: somewhat wacky in that a bunch of ranked teams won't be ranked later on, but not wacky in that most teams that aren't ranked right now won't be ranked later on either. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 1-2 Kentucky can be ranked over 2-1 Texas Tech, but 1-2 Kentucky cannot be ranked over 3-0 Coastal Carolina even if Kentucky beat Coastal Carolina heads up, rankings have Kentucky over Coastal Carolina, and/or I think Kentucky is better than Coastal Carolina)
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Texas Longhorns | Not counting injury to Quinn Ewers as bad until we see Arch Manning do terrible, mostly due to Michigan win; would be #1 seed in 12-team playoff |
2 | Ole Miss Rebels | Not a lot of competition, but have jettisoned everyone so far; would be #5 seed in 12-team playoff |
3 | Tennessee Volunteers | Difference between 1-3 is negligible; would be #6 seed in 12-team playoff |
4 | Miami Hurricanes | Don't really believe Miami is the 4th-best team, they've just been most consistent so far; would be #2 seed in 12-team playoff |
5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Think they got coaches putting foots in butts after USF game; would be #7 seed in 12-team playoff |
6 | Missouri Tigers | Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #8 seed in 12-team playoff |
7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #3 seed in 12-team playoff |
8 | Georgia Bulldogs | Not dominating as much as preseason expectations had them; would be #9 seed in 12-team playoff |
9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #10 seed in 12-team playoff |
10 | Louisville Cardinals | Like the others, a crapshoot at this point in difference; would be #11 seed in 12-team playoff |
11 | USC Trojans | |
12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | |
13 | Kansas State Wildcats | |
14 | Utah Utes | |
15 | Oregon Ducks | |
16 | Michigan Wolverines | |
17 | LSU Tigers | |
18 | Oklahoma Sooners | |
19 | Clemson Tigers | |
20 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | |
21 | Iowa State Cyclones | |
22 | Washington State Cougars | |
23 | Northern Illinois Huskies | I don't think they're the best G5 team, but it's too early to dissect every single little on-field metric at this point; would be #12 seed in 12-team playoff |
24 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | I think they win the NIU game 9/10 times, but they have a high ceiling and low floor |
25 | UNLV Rebels | I think they are playing the best of the G5 teams so far |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Texas Longhorns | 0.00 |
2 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.42 |
3 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.19 |
4 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.52 |
5 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
6 | Missouri Tigers | 0.00 |
7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
8 | Georgia Bulldogs | -0.45 |
9 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
10 | Louisville Cardinals | 1.70 |
11 | USC Trojans | 0.00 |
12 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.00 |
13 | Kansas State Wildcats | 0.00 |
14 | Utah Utes | 0.00 |
15 | Oregon Ducks | -0.80 |
16 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.65 |
17 | LSU Tigers | 0.34 |
18 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
19 | Clemson Tigers | 0.27 |
20 | Nebraska Cornhuskers | 0.00 |
21 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
22 | Washington State Cougars | 0.00 |
23 | Northern Illinois Huskies | 0.00 |
24 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.00 |
25 | UNLV Rebels | 0.00 |
No major omissions.
Total Score: 5.33