BeyondLiesTheWub Ballot for 2024 Week 4
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Sept. 15, 2024, 7:53 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I have two predictive models - one that predicts how many points a team will score and one that predicts if they will win or lose. I simulate every FBS team against each other in each model and average the ranks based on who wins the most and who scores the most/allows the fewest points. Occasionally if there's a team that doesn't make sense based on the eye test I'll adjust or replace them (see notes for details). Notes for this week: TCU, UCF, Utah, Kansas dropped out.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
+2 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
+2 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
-2 |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
+3 |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
no change |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-4 |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
+10 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-2 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
+2 |
| 10 |
Missouri Tigers
|
-2 |
| 11 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
+3 |
| 12 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-3 |
| 13 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
+5 |
| 14 |
USC Trojans
|
-2 |
| 15 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
+9 |
| 16 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
-3 |
| 17 |
Washington Huskies
|
-7 |
| 18 |
LSU Tigers
|
-3 |
| 19 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
+24 |
| 20 |
Memphis Tigers
|
no change |
| 21 |
Clemson Tigers
|
no change |
| 22 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
+9 |
| 23 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
+12 |
| 24 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
+8 |
| 25 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
+32 |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.39 |
| 3 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.46 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
2.97 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.02 |
| 9 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.47 |
| 12 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
1.68 |
| 13 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
-0.01 |
| 14 |
USC Trojans
|
-0.22 |
| 15 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
9.70 |
| 16 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.15 |
| 17 |
Washington Huskies
|
8.08 |
| 18 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.08 |
| 19 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
6.25 |
| 20 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.68 |
| 21 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 22 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
-2.21 |
| 23 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
2.22 |
| 24 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
-0.30 |
| 25 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Utah Utes
|
2.92 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
2.57 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.66 |
Northern Illinois Huskies
|
0.18 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.04 |
Total Score: 42.25