Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 29, 2023, 6:13 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Week 10 notes: Deservedness keeping 2-loss teams such as Notre Dame and LSU behind 0-loss Liberty and 3-loss teams such as Texas A&M and Duke behind 1-loss Toledo. General notes: FIRST layer (computer portion): SP+, opponents’ SP+, opponents’ opponents’ SP+, opponents’ win %, opponents’ opponents’ win %. SECOND layer (human portion): home/field/away, key injuries, P5/G5 status, watched game factors (ex: offensive/defensive line domination, rush yards after contact, average point of first contact, defensive penetration on non-inside screens, missed tackles, quarterback throwing release speed, overall turnovers, average starting field position, etc). THIRD layer (human portion): wins/losses vs higher-/lower-/non-ranked teams, recency of those results. FOURTH layer (computer portion): Deservedness = team cannot be ranked over another team with 2+ fewer losses (ex: 6-2 Notre Dame can be ranked over 7-1 Missouri, but 6-2 Notre Dame cannot be ranked over 7-0 Liberty even if Notre Dame beat Liberty heads up, rankings have Notre Dame over Liberty, and/or I think Notre Dame is better than Liberty)
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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If season ended today: Rose Bowl. I have Michigan winning the Big Ten |
2 |
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If season ended today: Sugar Bowl |
3 |
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If season ended today: Sugar Bowl |
4 |
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If season ended today: Rose Bowl. I have Georgia being with FSU, Washington, and Michigan |
5 |
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If season ended today: Fiesta Bowl |
6 |
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If season ended today: Orange Bowl |
7 |
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If season ended today: Cotton Bowl |
8 |
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If season ended today: Fiesta Bowl |
9 |
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If season ended today: Peach Bowl |
10 |
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If season ended today: Peach Bowl |
11 |
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12 |
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If season ended today: Orange Bowl |
13 |
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14 |
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With the NCAA ruling, JMU not eligible to become conference champ therefore cannot get in as highest-ranked G5 champ |
15 |
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If season ended today: Cotton Bowl |
16 |
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17 |
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18 |
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0-loss Liberty holding up all of the 2-loss teams |
19 |
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Deservedness cap is released for 2-loss teams as the last 0-loss team (Liberty) is ranked |
20 |
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21 |
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22 |
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23 |
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24 |
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25 |
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Next five: Oklahoma State, North Carolina, Miami, UCLA, SMU. 1-loss Toledo preventing any 3-loss teams from being ranked ahead of them |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.29 |
2 |
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0.43 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.14 |
6 |
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-0.27 |
7 |
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0.31 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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-0.05 |
11 |
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0.51 |
12 |
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0.06 |
13 |
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-0.07 |
14 |
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0.27 |
15 |
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1.50 |
16 |
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6.71 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.72 |
19 |
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-1.19 |
20 |
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-0.67 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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-0.32 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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-0.68 |
25 |
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0.00 |