Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Dec. 6, 2022, 8:07 a.m.

Overall Rationale: Strength of record rankings. These rankings use my predictive power rankings to calculate the probability that an average FBS team would have the given team's record (or better) against their schedule. Those probabilities are shown for each team.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0.000%
2	TCU Horned Frogs	0.001%
3	Michigan Wolverines	0.002%
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.068%
5	Kansas State Wildcats	0.071%
6	Tennessee Volunteers	0.16%
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.20%
8	USC Trojans	0.23%
9	Clemson Tigers	0.50%
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.54%
11	Texas Longhorns	1.11%
12	LSU Tigers	1.23%
13	Tulane Green Wave	1.24%
14	Utah Utes	1.57%
15	Washington Huskies	1.89%
16	Oregon Ducks	2.09%
17	Florida State Seminoles	3.48%
18	Oregon State Beavers	3.88%
19	Troy Trojans	4.97%
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	5.03%
21	South Carolina Gamecocks	5.48%
22	Texas Tech Red Raiders	6.56
23	UCLA Bruins	7.69%
24	UTSA Roadrunners	8.87%
25	Ole Miss Rebels	8.90%

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
2	TCU Horned Frogs	0.59
3	Michigan Wolverines	-0.36
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.00
5	Kansas State Wildcats	0.90
6	Tennessee Volunteers	0.00
7	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
8	USC Trojans	0.00
9	Clemson Tigers	0.00
10	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.00
11	Texas Longhorns	1.69
12	LSU Tigers	0.92
13	Tulane Green Wave	0.00
14	Utah Utes	-1.78
15	Washington Huskies	-0.32
16	Oregon Ducks	0.00
17	Florida State Seminoles	-0.09
18	Oregon State Beavers	-0.21
19	Troy Trojans	0.00
20	Mississippi State Bulldogs	1.12
21	South Carolina Gamecocks	0.00
22	Texas Tech Red Raiders	3.14
23	UCLA Bruins	-0.93
24	UTSA Roadrunners	0.00
25	Ole Miss Rebels	0.00

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1.25

Total Score: 13.29