Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Dec. 4, 2022, 8:34 a.m.
Overall Rationale: These are the teams I believe are the best in college football. In general, I would expect any given team to win more than 50% of the time on a neutral field against all the teams ranked below it. I start with an average of predictive computer models and make subjective adjustments as necessary. It would be very dumb indeed to determine a playoff based on these rankings. Playoffs should be determined by some objective measure of deservedness, not by an analysis of which teams are best. But the latter is what I understand to be the purpose of a poll.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
1.18 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.85 |
| 4 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-1.36 |
| 5 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.03 |
| 6 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.39 |
| 7 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Texas Longhorns
|
2.45 |
| 9 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
TCU Horned Frogs
|
-5.26 |
| 11 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Florida State Seminoles
|
0.35 |
| 13 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.45 |
| 14 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.29 |
| 15 |
USC Trojans
|
-1.26 |
| 16 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.25 |
| 17 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
2.57 |
| 18 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
7.01 |
| 19 |
Washington Huskies
|
-1.75 |
| 20 |
Baylor Bears
|
5.19 |
| 21 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
3.65 |
| 22 |
Illinois Fighting Illini
|
2.68 |
| 23 |
Oregon State Beavers
|
-2.47 |
| 24 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
1.22 |
| 25 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.24 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Tulane Green Wave
|
2.58 |
UCLA Bruins
|
2.01 |
South Carolina Gamecocks
|
1.00 |
Troy Trojans
|
0.45 |
UTSA Roadrunners
|
0.49 |
Total Score: 48.41