Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 13, 2022, 1:31 p.m.
Overall Rationale: These are the teams I believe are the best in college football. In general, I would expect any given team to win more than 50% of the time on a neutral field against all the teams ranked below it. I start with an average of predictive computer models and make subjective adjustments as necessary. It would be very dumb indeed to determine a playoff based on these rankings. Playoffs should be determined by some objective measure of deservedness, not by an analysis of which teams are best. But the latter is what I understand to be the purpose of a poll.
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
2 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
3 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 2.39 |
4 | Michigan Wolverines | -0.10 |
5 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.38 |
7 | Utah Utes | 0.82 |
8 | LSU Tigers | 0.00 |
9 | Kansas State Wildcats | 1.88 |
10 | Texas Longhorns | 7.15 |
11 | TCU Horned Frogs | -4.97 |
12 | Clemson Tigers | -0.61 |
13 | Florida State Seminoles | 1.50 |
14 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
15 | USC Trojans | -2.70 |
16 | Ole Miss Rebels | 0.00 |
17 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.06 |
18 | Baylor Bears | 7.14 |
19 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 5.85 |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 5.06 |
21 | Florida Gators | 4.05 |
22 | Louisville Cardinals | 3.15 |
23 | Wisconsin Badgers | 2.22 |
24 | Oklahoma Sooners | 1.24 |
25 | UCF Knights | -1.87 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
North Carolina Tar Heels | 3.57 |
Washington Huskies | 3.04 |
UCLA Bruins | 3.21 |
Tulane Green Wave | 0.96 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 0.31 |
Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.65 |
Oregon State Beavers | 0.28 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.20 |
Total Score: 66.36