DataDrivenPirate Ballot for 2021 Week 6
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Oct. 4, 2021, 8:35 p.m.
Overall Rationale: A computer poll that is designed to minimize the mean squared error of game margins, weighted by number of data points and recency (more data points for the teams = more weight, more recent games = more weight.) This poll creates very weird results until mid season, but by the end of the season the results look very normal compared to AP. The poll is highly influenced by big margins (Nebraska vs Northwestern is a god example this past week.)
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
22.79 |
| 3 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
|
22.18 |
| 4 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-1.42 |
| 5 |
Ole Miss Rebels
|
2.26 |
| 6 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
19.14 |
| 7 |
Pittsburgh Panthers
|
6.89 |
| 8 |
Florida Gators
|
2.45 |
| 9 |
Nebraska Cornhuskers
|
16.11 |
| 10 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-0.01 |
| 11 |
Washington Huskies
|
14.21 |
| 12 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
-4.37 |
| 13 |
UCF Knights
|
12.21 |
| 14 |
Liberty Flames
|
11.12 |
| 15 |
ECU Pirates
|
10.22 |
| 16 |
Boise State Broncos
|
9.22 |
| 17 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
-0.72 |
| 18 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
7.18 |
| 19 |
California Golden Bears
|
6.23 |
| 20 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
|
-0.23 |
| 21 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
4.08 |
| 22 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
-6.92 |
| 23 |
Air Force Falcons
|
2.16 |
| 24 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
1.18 |
| 25 |
Louisville Cardinals
|
0.25 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
10.07 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
5.48 |
BYU Cougars
|
3.19 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
3.30 |
Oregon Ducks
|
2.29 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
2.85 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
2.35 |
Arkansas Razorbacks
|
2.28 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
1.67 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
1.73 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.60 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.81 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.43 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
|
0.59 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
0.56 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
0.05 |
Total Score: 221.78