Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 19, 2020, 9:07 p.m.
Overall Rationale: Similar methodology to last week with a few important updates:1. I have full data going back to 1995 now of all NCAA/NAIA games, with some bonus JuCo and even Canadian and Mexican games. This allows for a full 1-1000 ranking using the same techniques that I'm pretty happy with.2. I've frozen the multipliers within given seasons. The effective weight of a game is identical regardless of when it happens during the season. I'm exploring randomizing the order of games within a season and doing multiple iterations and averaging to offset order effects, but haven't done that yet.Other than that, same manual conditions apply for the top 25: 1. Teams with the best record (5-0/4-0) were automatically added to the end. 2. Teams with losing records are unranked. This affected 4 teams this week, all of which were between 23-31 without any shuffling. The teams that would have naturally been 23-25 are LSU, Michigan, and Memphis.Teams that might be ranked that aren't in my poll include #30 Kansas State, #32 NC State, #35 Iowa State, #36 Louisiana, #38 USC, #42 Arkansas, and #47 West Virginia. Teams I ranked that might not be include #9 Air Force, #11 Kentucky, #18 Iowa, #22 Washington, and #26 Liberty.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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71.9 |
2 |
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70.4 |
3 |
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67.7 |
4 |
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67.4 |
5 |
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66.9 |
6 |
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66.5 |
7 |
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65.8 |
8 |
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65.7 |
9 |
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65.3 |
10 |
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65.3 |
11 |
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64.9 |
12 |
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64.6 |
13 |
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64.4 |
14 |
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64.3 |
15 |
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64.2 |
16 |
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64.1 |
17 |
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63.8 |
18 |
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63.8 |
19 |
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63.7 |
20 |
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63.7 |
21 |
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63.5 |
22 |
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63.4 |
23 |
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63.0 (#26) |
24 |
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63.0 (#27) |
25 |
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62.4 (#31) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.10 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.99 |
4 |
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0.00 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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0.00 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.26 |
9 |
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10.26 |
10 |
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0.00 |
11 |
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11.41 |
12 |
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-1.12 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.36 |
15 |
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-0.37 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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4.30 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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-0.42 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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2.18 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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-1.63 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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1.30 |
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0.93 |
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0.43 |
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0.26 |
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0.03 |
Total Score: 36.33