Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 6, 2020, 2:04 a.m.
Overall Rationale: See my poll from last week for an overall methodology explanation: https://poll.redditcfb.com/ballot/48088/.I kept the methodology basically unchanged, but I'm working on a larger adjustment that I hope to share next week that makes a stronger attempt at tuning the model.Small adjustments: There's only one team with the best record this season, SMU at 4-0, and they nearly got ranked at 27. The 25th spot purely by the algorithm would have gone to UCF. I've dropped NDSU after a shaky performance against Central Arkansas, and don't anticipate ranking them again this fall.Here's how teams that I think might end up ranked looked like in my algorithm: #26 Auburn, #29 Coastal Carolina, #35 USC, #36 Louisiana, #37 Texas, #38 Kansas State, #41 Marshall, #46 Texas A&M, #56 Iowa State.I don't expect to see Air Force, Iowa, Washington, Memphis, or Boise State ranked.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
63.1 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
62.9 |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
62.9 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
62.1 |
| 5 |
Florida Gators
|
62.1 |
| 6 |
BYU Cougars
|
61.5 |
| 7 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
61.1 |
| 8 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
60.9 |
| 9 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
60.5 |
| 10 |
LSU Tigers
|
60.1 |
| 11 |
Air Force Falcons
|
60.1 |
| 12 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
59.1 |
| 13 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
59.1 |
| 14 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
59.0 |
| 15 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
59.0 |
| 16 |
Oregon Ducks
|
58.5 |
| 17 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
58.4 |
| 18 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
58.3 |
| 19 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
58.2 |
| 20 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
58.1 |
| 21 |
Washington Huskies
|
57.9 |
| 22 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
57.8 |
| 23 |
Memphis Tigers
|
57.8 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
57.6 |
| 25 |
SMU Mustangs
|
57.5 (#27) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.29 |
| 5 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
BYU Cougars
|
1.06 |
| 7 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
LSU Tigers
|
1.33 |
| 11 |
Air Force Falcons
|
8.90 |
| 12 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
-0.36 |
| 14 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Tennessee Volunteers
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
5.23 |
| 18 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
|
0.00 |
| 20 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
0.24 |
| 21 |
Washington Huskies
|
3.55 |
| 22 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Memphis Tigers
|
1.81 |
| 24 |
Boise State Broncos
|
1.06 |
| 25 |
SMU Mustangs
|
-1.07 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Auburn Tigers
|
0.99 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns
|
0.61 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
0.51 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.28 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.19 |
Total Score: 27.47