Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 6, 2020, 2:04 a.m.
Overall Rationale: See my poll from last week for an overall methodology explanation: https://poll.redditcfb.com/ballot/48088/.I kept the methodology basically unchanged, but I'm working on a larger adjustment that I hope to share next week that makes a stronger attempt at tuning the model.Small adjustments: There's only one team with the best record this season, SMU at 4-0, and they nearly got ranked at 27. The 25th spot purely by the algorithm would have gone to UCF. I've dropped NDSU after a shaky performance against Central Arkansas, and don't anticipate ranking them again this fall.Here's how teams that I think might end up ranked looked like in my algorithm: #26 Auburn, #29 Coastal Carolina, #35 USC, #36 Louisiana, #37 Texas, #38 Kansas State, #41 Marshall, #46 Texas A&M, #56 Iowa State.I don't expect to see Air Force, Iowa, Washington, Memphis, or Boise State ranked.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 |
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63.1 |
2 |
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62.9 |
3 |
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62.9 |
4 |
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62.1 |
5 |
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62.1 |
6 |
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61.5 |
7 |
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61.1 |
8 |
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60.9 |
9 |
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60.5 |
10 |
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60.1 |
11 |
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60.1 |
12 |
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59.1 |
13 |
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59.1 |
14 |
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59.0 |
15 |
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59.0 |
16 |
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58.5 |
17 |
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58.4 |
18 |
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58.3 |
19 |
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58.2 |
20 |
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58.1 |
21 |
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57.9 |
22 |
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57.8 |
23 |
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57.8 |
24 |
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57.6 |
25 |
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57.5 (#27) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.00 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.29 |
5 |
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0.00 |
6 |
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1.06 |
7 |
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0.00 |
8 |
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0.00 |
9 |
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0.00 |
10 |
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1.33 |
11 |
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8.90 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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-0.36 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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0.00 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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5.23 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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0.24 |
21 |
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3.55 |
22 |
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0.00 |
23 |
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1.81 |
24 |
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1.06 |
25 |
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-1.07 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
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0.99 |
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0.61 |
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0.51 |
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0.28 |
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0.19 |
Total Score: 27.47