Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 6, 2020, 2:04 a.m.
Overall Rationale: See my poll from last week for an overall methodology explanation: https://poll.redditcfb.com/ballot/48088/.I kept the methodology basically unchanged, but I'm working on a larger adjustment that I hope to share next week that makes a stronger attempt at tuning the model.Small adjustments: There's only one team with the best record this season, SMU at 4-0, and they nearly got ranked at 27. The 25th spot purely by the algorithm would have gone to UCF. I've dropped NDSU after a shaky performance against Central Arkansas, and don't anticipate ranking them again this fall.Here's how teams that I think might end up ranked looked like in my algorithm: #26 Auburn, #29 Coastal Carolina, #35 USC, #36 Louisiana, #37 Texas, #38 Kansas State, #41 Marshall, #46 Texas A&M, #56 Iowa State.I don't expect to see Air Force, Iowa, Washington, Memphis, or Boise State ranked.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 63.1 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 62.9 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 62.9 |
4 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 62.1 |
5 | Florida Gators | 62.1 |
6 | BYU Cougars | 61.5 |
7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 61.1 |
8 | Miami Hurricanes | 60.9 |
9 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 60.5 |
10 | LSU Tigers | 60.1 |
11 | Air Force Falcons | 60.1 |
12 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 59.1 |
13 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 59.1 |
14 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 59.0 |
15 | Tennessee Volunteers | 59.0 |
16 | Oregon Ducks | 58.5 |
17 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 58.4 |
18 | Wisconsin Badgers | 58.3 |
19 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 58.2 |
20 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 58.1 |
21 | Washington Huskies | 57.9 |
22 | Michigan Wolverines | 57.8 |
23 | Memphis Tigers | 57.8 |
24 | Boise State Broncos | 57.6 |
25 | SMU Mustangs | 57.5 (#27) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Clemson Tigers | 0.00 |
2 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
3 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
4 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.29 |
5 | Florida Gators | 0.00 |
6 | BYU Cougars | 1.06 |
7 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.00 |
8 | Miami Hurricanes | 0.00 |
9 | Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.00 |
10 | LSU Tigers | 1.33 |
11 | Air Force Falcons | 8.90 |
12 | North Carolina Tar Heels | 0.00 |
13 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -0.36 |
14 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.00 |
15 | Tennessee Volunteers | 0.00 |
16 | Oregon Ducks | 0.00 |
17 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 5.23 |
18 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.00 |
19 | Virginia Tech Hokies | 0.00 |
20 | Minnesota Golden Gophers | 0.24 |
21 | Washington Huskies | 3.55 |
22 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.00 |
23 | Memphis Tigers | 1.81 |
24 | Boise State Broncos | 1.06 |
25 | SMU Mustangs | -1.07 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
Auburn Tigers | 0.99 |
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | 0.61 |
Iowa State Cyclones | 0.51 |
Texas Longhorns | 0.28 |
Texas A&M Aggies | 0.19 |
Total Score: 27.47