stripes361 Ballot for 2019 Week 16 & Bowls
Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Dec. 9, 2019, 10:56 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a forward-looking, predictive ballot. It is not a resume ranking. I start with an aggregate of the FPI and SP+ computer rankings and then adjust the teams based off of several "human" factors, including coaching, QB play, roster balance, eye test, and injuries. Because it is forward-looking, long-term injuries can significantly alter a team's ranking even before on-field performance has been affected.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 2 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 3 |
Clemson Tigers
|
|
| 4 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
OU jumping Georgia was not automatic, especially with OU going to OT instead of winning in regulation. But as much as I've gotten on the Sooners for their defensive efficiency, Georgia has just as many if not more issues with the offensive side of the ball. |
| 5 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 6 |
Baylor Bears
|
Baylor's only two losses are tight games against a Top 4 team. Very impressive season from the Bears. |
| 7 |
Florida Gators
|
Just as a rising tide lifts all ships, a receding one can scuttle everyone in the harbor. I considered Florida at #4, which is where they would have finished if I let poll inertia rule my ballot, but their loss to Georgia looks that much worse in the wake of the Bulldog's blowout loss to LSU. |
| 8 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
|
| 9 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Alabama would be higher with a healthy Tua. Mac Jones did play well against Auburn but his two pick-sixes were the difference, and those sorts of mistakes can't happen with Alabama's porous defense. |
| 10 |
Auburn Tigers
|
|
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
|
| 12 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 13 |
Utah Utes
|
|
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 15 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
|
| 16 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
|
| 17 |
Memphis Tigers
|
|
| 18 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
|
| 19 |
USC Trojans
|
|
| 20 |
Boise State Broncos
|
|
| 21 |
UCF Knights
|
|
| 22 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
|
| 23 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
|
| 24 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
|
| 25 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
Honorable Mention: Kansas State, Iowa State, SMU, Air Force, Navy, Washington, Texas, Louisiana |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.04 |
| 2 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.06 |
| 6 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.14 |
| 7 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Oregon Ducks
|
-1.42 |
| 13 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
0.00 |
| 17 |
Memphis Tigers
|
-0.08 |
| 18 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
USC Trojans
|
1.69 |
| 20 |
Boise State Broncos
|
-0.03 |
| 21 |
UCF Knights
|
3.93 |
| 22 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
-0.15 |
| 23 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
1.92 |
| 24 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Navy Midshipmen
|
0.92 |
Air Force Falcons
|
0.38 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.07 |
Total Score: 10.83