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TheJeemTeam Ballot for 2019 Week 15

Ballot Type: Hybrid

Submitted: Dec. 2, 2019, 7:43 p.m.

Overall Rationale: My poll is a hybrid. I take the results of a computer poll of my own creation and split the teams into tiers based on where it makes sense to break the values. I then look at just the teams within the tiers and re-rank within them based on my observations and feelings of the teams.Computer poll has a preseason component and a performance-based component. I phase the preseason component out as the season goes along. For this week, the preseason component is down to 2.5% of the overall calculation.

Rank Team Reason
1 Ohio State Buckeyes 1/1 in Tier Aa
2 LSU Tigers 1/1 in Tier Ab
3 Clemson Tigers 1/1 in Tier Ac
4 Utah Utes 1/3 in Tier B: Best loss of the group (USC). Better result than Oklahoma against their common opponent (UCLA)
5 Oklahoma Sooners 2/3 in Tier B
6 Georgia Bulldogs 3/3 in Tier B: Loss to South Carolina really hurts them when compared to the teams Utah and Oklahoma (KSU) lost to.
7 Wisconsin Badgers 1/1 in Tier Ca
8 Penn State Nittany Lions 1/2 in Tier Cb: Similar quality losses as Alabama has. However, they have beaten 3 teams (Iowa, Michigan, Indiana) that are ranked ahead of Alabama's best win (Texas A&M) according to my computer
9 Alabama Crimson Tide 2/2 in Tier Cb
10 Oregon Ducks 1/6 in Tier D: Despite losing to Auburn, they've shown enough through the rest of the season that they are the better team. Would likely be favored  in a hypothetical rematch on a neutral field.
11 Florida Gators 2/6 in Tier D: Own Head-to-head win over Auburn
12 Baylor Bears 3/6 in Tier D
13 Michigan Wolverines 4/6 in Tier D
14 Memphis Tigers 5/6 in Tier D
15 Auburn Tigers 6/6 in Tier D
16 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 1/1 in Tier Ea
17 Navy Midshipmen 1/1 in Tier Eb: Surprised how  close they are to ND after they were blown out by the Irish.
18 Minnesota Golden Gophers 1/2 in Tier F: They are placed ahead of Iowa, despite losing to them, due to having a better overall record (10-2 vs. 9-3) , a better record against common opponents (6-1 vs. 5-2), and a better average point differential in games involving common opponents (+13.2 Pts/Game vs. +8.7 Pts/Game).
19 Iowa Hawkeyes 2/2 in Tier F
20 SMU Mustangs 1/5 in Tier G: Same record overall vs. Cincinnati and same record vs. common opponents. However, they get the edge due to having a superior average point differential against common opponents (+10.4 Pts/Game vs. +4.0 Pts/Game)
21 Cincinnati Bearcats 2/5 in Tier G: Both losses are to much higher caliber teams than Boise's loss to BYU. Additionally, they had a better result against Marshall, the only common opponent they have. They beat Marshall 52-14 on the road, while Boise St. only beat them 14-7 at home.
22 Boise State Broncos 3/5 in Tier G: Better loss than App St. (Georgia Southern)
23 Appalachian State Mountaineers 4/5 in Tier G
24 UCF Knights 5/5 in Tier G: Don't even feel they should be ranked, buy my computer loves them. This is as low as my method will allow me to rank them.
25 Air Force Falcons 1/2 in Tier H: Gets the final spot over USC by virtue of a superior overall record and better performances against opponents Fresno State and Colorado (Both 2-0, +13 Pts/Game Avg MoV vs. +6 Pts/Game Avg MoV)

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