Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 18, 2019, 7:49 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My poll is a hybrid. I take the results of a computer poll of my own creation and split the teams into tiers based on where it makes sense to break the values. I then look at just the teams within the tiers and re-rank within them based on my observations and feelings of the teams.Computer poll has a preseason component and a performance-based component. I phase the preseason component out as the season goes along. For this week, the preseason component is down to 2.5% of the overall calculation.
Rank | Team | Reason |
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1 |
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1/1 in Tier A |
2 |
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1/2 in Tier B: Clemson has beaten teams by 11 more points on average, but LSU has played a much more difficult schedule and is still beating teams by 24 points on average. I would probably give Clemson the edge head-to-head on a neutral field, but based on what they've actually done I have to go with LSU. |
3 |
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2/2 in Tier B: To add on to the explanation above for LSU, the narrow win over UNC was also a consideration in deciding to put them in this spot. Despite the fact that they've blown everyone out since then, it still must be factored in. |
4 |
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1/4 in Tier C: Only loss is by less than a TD to LSU |
5 |
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2/4 in Tier C: Eye test puts them ahead of PSU/UGA in my mind |
6 |
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3/4 in Tier C: Loss on the road to Minnesota is better than UGA''s loss at home to South Carolina. |
7 |
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4/4 in Tier C |
8 |
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1/4 in Tier D: Only loss was Week 1 to a strong Auburn team |
9 |
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2/4 in Tier D: 2 losses, but both were to Top 10 teams (according to  my computer) |
10 |
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3/4 in Tier D: USC loss isn't awful, but it keeps them from rising further |
11 |
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4/4 in Tier D: Despite the head-to-head win over Michigan, the Illinois loss hurts them greatly in my mind. If I were to put them ahead of Michigan, I would have to put them ahead of a Utah team that I think has been better than them. |
12 |
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1/6 in Tier E |
13 |
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2/6 in Tier E |
14 |
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3/6 in Tier E: Hardest decision for me in this tier was deciding between ND and Minnesota for the 3rd slot (14th overall). Went with Notre Dame as both team they lost to appear to be significantly better than the Iowa team that beat Minnesota. |
15 |
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4/6 in Tier E |
16 |
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5/6 in Tier E: Auburn has 3 losses, but all are to Top 15 teams. Win over Oregon also gives them an edge. |
17 |
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6/6 in Tier E: Rank of the team that beat them (Temple at 38) is higher than the combined ranks of the teams that Auburn lost to (Florida/LSU/UGA with 23 combined). |
18 |
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1/8 in Tier F |
19 |
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2/8 in Tier F |
20 |
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3/8 in Tier F |
21 |
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4/8 in Tier F |
22 |
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5/8 in Tier F |
23 |
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6/8 in Tier F |
24 |
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7/8 in Tier F |
25 |
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8/8 in Tier F |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 |
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0.13 |
2 |
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0.00 |
3 |
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0.00 |
4 |
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0.40 |
5 |
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0.54 |
6 |
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0.34 |
7 |
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-0.57 |
8 |
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-0.32 |
9 |
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1.09 |
10 |
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-0.42 |
11 |
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0.42 |
12 |
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0.00 |
13 |
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0.00 |
14 |
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0.00 |
15 |
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-0.59 |
16 |
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0.00 |
17 |
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0.00 |
18 |
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0.00 |
19 |
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0.00 |
20 |
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1.46 |
21 |
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0.00 |
22 |
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-0.09 |
23 |
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0.00 |
24 |
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0.00 |
25 |
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0.00 |
No major omissions.
Total Score: 6.35