Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 3, 2019, 7:41 p.m.
Overall Rationale: This is a forward-looking, predictive ballot. It is not a resume ranking. I start with an aggregate of the FPI and SP+ computer rankings and then adjust the teams based off of several "human" factors, including coaching, QB play, roster balance, eye test, and injuries. Because it is forward-looking, long-term injuries can significantly alter a team's ranking even before on-field performance has been affected.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
|
| 3 |
Clemson Tigers
|
|
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
|
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
|
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 7 |
Oregon Ducks
|
|
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
|
| 9 |
Florida Gators
|
|
| 10 |
Utah Utes
|
Utah put together a great offensive performance against a tough Washington team. Just enough to edge Auburn for the #10 spot this week, who put up good numbers themselves against a fairly pedestrian Ole Miss. |
| 11 |
Auburn Tigers
|
|
| 12 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
|
| 13 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Still not a Michigan believer but the middle of the rankings are pretty weak right now. Huge drop off past the first 12 teams. FPI subscribes to this theory too. The FPI #13 (Utah) has a rating of 18.6 and the FPI #15 (Washington) is all the way down at 14.5. That's as big a gap as there is between #13 Utah and #7 Oklahoma. |
| 14 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
|
| 15 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
|
| 16 |
Baylor Bears
|
|
| 17 |
UCF Knights
|
|
| 18 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 19 |
Washington Huskies
|
|
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
|
| 21 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
|
| 22 |
Memphis Tigers
|
|
| 23 |
SMU Mustangs
|
I hope no one dropped SMU much for a 6 point road loss to another ranked team. |
| 24 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
|
| 25 |
Washington State Cougars
|
Honorable Mention: USC, Indiana, Navy, Cincinnati, Boise State, Air Force, Wake Forest |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.12 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.05 |
| 3 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.08 |
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
-1.17 |
| 5 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Florida Gators
|
0.32 |
| 10 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Auburn Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.47 |
| 13 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
10.88 |
| 15 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
-0.41 |
| 16 |
Baylor Bears
|
-1.12 |
| 17 |
UCF Knights
|
4.18 |
| 18 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Washington Huskies
|
5.89 |
| 20 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
3.82 |
| 22 |
Memphis Tigers
|
-0.57 |
| 23 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
|
0.92 |
| 25 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.23 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
1.61 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
|
0.97 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.84 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
0.94 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
0.11 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
0.02 |
Total Score: 34.71