BosskOnASegway Ballot for 2019 Week 11
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 4, 2019, 10:06 a.m.
Overall Rationale: To prevent the bottom of the rankings from being dominated by teams from chaotic conferences (specifically the AAC), adding a requirement for at least a 0.666 record or better. Will be removed after thing are more leveled out.Ranked by probability of making the playoffs based on 538's predictive model until teams are below 5% then switches to ranking by Conference champ probability among teams tracked on 538's playoff predictor otherwise no G5 teams will show up. If there still aren't enough teams before conference champ probability falls below 10%, strength of record of the remaining teams is used to rank them.This helps better capture NY6 probability after playoffs become unrealistic/longshot goals for some teams. Additionally, as strength of record is one of the best predictors of CFP ranking, it helps reflect what the CFP values toward the bottom of the list.New rule going forward:Once a team exceed 30% chance to win the national title (Current highest: Ohio State: 25%).  National title probability will be used before playoff percentage.
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Playoff: 84% |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Playoff: 63% |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Playoff: 51% |
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
Playoff: 39% |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
Playoff: 34% |
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
Playoff: 28% |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
Playoff: 25% |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Playoff: 24% |
| 9 |
Utah Utes
|
Playoff: 23% |
| 10 |
Baylor Bears
|
Playoff: 11% |
| 11 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
Playoff: 5% |
| 12 |
Boise State Broncos
|
Conference: 54% |
| 13 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
Conference: 52% |
| 14 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
Conference: 26% |
| 15 |
Memphis Tigers
|
Conference: 21% |
| 16 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
Conference: 13% |
| 17 |
SMU Mustangs
|
Conference: 12% |
| 18 |
Auburn Tigers
|
SoR: #7 |
| 19 |
Florida Gators
|
SoR: #9 |
| 20 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
SoR: #13 |
| 21 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
SoR: #16 |
| 22 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
SoR: #17 |
| 23 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
SoR: #19 |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
SoR: #20 |
| 25 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
SoR: #21 (First Out: Indiana, SoR: #24) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
1.81 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
-1.17 |
| 5 |
Oregon Ducks
|
0.55 |
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.52 |
| 7 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 8 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
-2.44 |
| 9 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Baylor Bears
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
|
0.00 |
| 12 |
Boise State Broncos
|
2.08 |
| 13 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.53 |
| 14 |
San Diego State Aztecs
|
4.45 |
| 15 |
Memphis Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 16 |
Navy Midshipmen
|
1.52 |
| 17 |
SMU Mustangs
|
0.57 |
| 18 |
Auburn Tigers
|
-1.08 |
| 19 |
Florida Gators
|
-1.26 |
| 20 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-1.22 |
| 21 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
-0.12 |
| 22 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.00 |
| 23 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
-1.16 |
| 24 |
Kansas State Wildcats
|
-0.25 |
| 25 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.00 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons