Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Oct. 14, 2019, 6:44 p.m.

Overall Rationale: Probabilistic model that uses Bayesian inference on a team's results to assign a probability of a team's rating given all their results to date. No information outside of the current season is used. Only scores of games and home/away locations are used. No games against FCS opponents are counted. It is seeded from 0 each week and then iterated until ratings stabilize, so past weeks' results are reevaluated from the perspective of the current week.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Ohio State Buckeyes
2	Wisconsin Badgers
3	Alabama Crimson Tide
4	Oregon Ducks
5	Oklahoma Sooners
6	LSU Tigers
7	Iowa State Cyclones
8	Auburn Tigers
9	Penn State Nittany Lions
10	Clemson Tigers
11	Texas Longhorns
12	Georgia Bulldogs
13	Utah Utes
14	Washington Huskies
15	Missouri Tigers
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish
17	UCF Knights
18	Florida Gators
19	Michigan State Spartans
20	Iowa Hawkeyes
21	TCU Horned Frogs
22	Baylor Bears
23	Cincinnati Bearcats
24	Navy Midshipmen
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.39
2	Wisconsin Badgers	1.16
3	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.00
4	Oregon Ducks	1.89
5	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
6	LSU Tigers	-1.39
7	Iowa State Cyclones	10.89
8	Auburn Tigers	0.33
9	Penn State Nittany Lions	-0.61
10	Clemson Tigers	-2.21
11	Texas Longhorns	0.81
12	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
13	Utah Utes	0.00
14	Washington Huskies	2.99
15	Missouri Tigers	1.25
16	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-1.14
17	UCF Knights	7.99
18	Florida Gators	-1.79
19	Michigan State Spartans	6.06
20	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.72
21	TCU Horned Frogs	4.21
22	Baylor Bears	-0.61
23	Cincinnati Bearcats	0.00
24	Navy Midshipmen	1.06
25	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.16

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Boise State Broncos	2.73
Michigan Wolverines	1.94
SMU Mustangs	1.38
Minnesota Golden Gophers	1.25
Arizona State Sun Devils	1.57
Appalachian State Mountaineers	0.34

Total Score: 56.88