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Sproded Ballot for 2018 Week 15 & Bowls

Ballot Type: Human

Submitted: Dec. 3, 2018, 6:11 p.m.

Overall Rationale: The goal of my rankings is to find the 12 most deserving teams (10 autobids + 2 at-large bids) to put into a hypothetical playoff with 12 teams since that's how it should be. To do this, I first create a rating for each team which is a consensus of the 25 most accurate computer polls in the past 5 years. This is my basis for how good a team is. I then use that rating to compare wins between 2 different teams against each other. Teams are also not punished for playing against better teams when compared to other teams. For example, if Team A is 11-1 and their loss was to the #1 team, while Team B is 12-0 and their best win was against the #10 team, Team A would not be punished for their loss. I also don't care if Team C beats the #97 best team by 50 points while Team D beats the #40 best team by only 7. A win against a good team is better than a blow out win against a bad team. However, a blow out win against a good team is better than a close win against an equally good team. I would also rank a team who went 1-0 against top 10 teams higher than one that went 3-1 against top 10 teams since I know the second team can't always win while I can't say the same about the first.

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