f0gax Ballot for 2018 Week 15 & Bowls
Ballot Type: Human
Submitted: Dec. 2, 2018, 8:19 a.m.
Overall Rationale: Once again the four spot comes down to UCF, Oklahoma, and Ohio State. And once again, all of the numbers I'm looking at say OU should get it. They fared better against their common opponents with OSU and UCF. Based on my own rankings, OU also has the best SoS. But man is OU's defense bad. S&P+ has them at 84 while OSU is 35 and UCF is 29. UCF is still undefeated, like 25 in a row or whatever it is. That counts for something. OU's loss is better than OSU's, but OSU has better wins overall I think. I do not envy the committee right now. If they're just going by "best" then I think they have to lean OU - but putting them up against Bama could be a blood bath early. UCF could probably hang with Bama for a quarter or two, but then athlete levels will kick in and Bama pulls away. OSU is a bit murkier I think. When they're on, they're way on. But when they're off... hoo boy. So of we're talking about who might be able to make a game of it with Bama I think the nod goes to OSU. As a result I'm going OSU, UCF, OU. (Note: This talk of putting UGA in is silly - they have two losses including a loss on Saturday to a team that is definitely in the playoff. So I'm not even going to entertain that idea.)
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
|
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
|
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
|
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
|
| 5 |
UCF Knights
|
|
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
|
| 7 |
Washington Huskies
|
|
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
|
| 9 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
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| 10 |
Florida Gators
|
Homerism Alert: Is UF really the 10th best team? Maybe not. But all of our losses are to teams that are fairly well regarded by most ranking systems (human and computer). We have 9 wins and of the twelve 9 win teams I think we're toward the top of that heap. Real talk, I think that if we make it to the NY6 our prospective opponents will be challenging. Michigan could definitely exploit each and every weakness we have on both sides of the ball. And UCF has an offense that matches up well against our defense. This will sort itself out by the end of bowl season. |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
|
| 12 |
Boise State Broncos
|
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| 13 |
Utah State Aggies
|
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| 14 |
LSU Tigers
|
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| 15 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
|
| 16 |
Washington State Cougars
|
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| 17 |
Syracuse Orange
|
|
| 18 |
Utah Utes
|
|
| 19 |
Texas Longhorns
|
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| 20 |
Missouri Tigers
|
|
| 21 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
|
| 22 |
UAB Blazers
|
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| 23 |
Army West Point
|
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| 24 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
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| 25 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.89 |
| 5 |
UCF Knights
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
-0.80 |
| 7 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.39 |
| 8 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
-0.76 |
| 9 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Florida Gators
|
0.04 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.15 |
| 12 |
Boise State Broncos
|
2.08 |
| 13 |
Utah State Aggies
|
4.39 |
| 14 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 15 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.07 |
| 16 |
Washington State Cougars
|
-0.82 |
| 17 |
Syracuse Orange
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-0.22 |
| 20 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.23 |
| 21 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
0.66 |
| 22 |
UAB Blazers
|
2.74 |
| 23 |
Army West Point
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.00 |
| 25 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
-1.71 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
2.44 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.65 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.67 |
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.08 |
Total Score: 19.79