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Fmeson Ballot for 2018 Week 14

Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 26, 2018, 12:51 p.m.

Overall Rationale: My poll is not a resume ranker, but attempts to infer how good they are overall. It has no implicit bias towards any team or conference (e.g. I don't give extra points for beating P5 opponents or something) and even ranks DII and DIII teams on the same scale. There are a few imperfections with it that I will be fixing over the break to make it even better! Notably, it isn't perfectly balanced wrt playing easy games. It has some bias towards the lower ranked team in the matchup. With that said, it is an excelent predictor of W/L and point spreads, predicting between 12-13 points in bowl games which is comparable with top predictors like S&P+ and the Vegas line.Believe it or not, Michigan did go down, OSU did go up, and so on. Michigan didn't go down much, because it sees OSU as a good team and isn't that punishing of a late loss to a good team. Hence why it isn't a resume ranker. I have a different algorithm that aims to rank resumes. 

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