ExternalTangents Ballot for 2018 Week 14
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 26, 2018, 7:26 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My ranking is a backward-looking, achievement-based system. **This is not a predictive ranking**, it is solely descriptive of teams' accomplishments during the current season. It is all computerized, and there is no head-to-head component.It takes into account only what teams have done this year, and it starts with the assumption that all teams are equal, then iteratively informs itself to how good teams actually are based on game results. It starts over from scratch each week.A summary of the ranking philosophy and calculation process can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/user/ExternalTangents/comments/70w4wp/the_externaltangents_cfb_rankings_explained/ . In short, the system identifies a set of rankings/ratings in which the priors/inputs are the same rankings as the output rankings.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.43 |
| 2 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
-0.13 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 5 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 6 |
UCF Knights
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.02 |
| 8 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
-0.82 |
| 9 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.55 |
| 10 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
1.41 |
| 11 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.26 |
| 12 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 13 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.00 |
| 14 |
Boise State Broncos
|
0.33 |
| 15 |
Missouri Tigers
|
2.71 |
| 16 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.99 |
| 17 |
Syracuse Orange
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Utah Utes
|
0.00 |
| 19 |
Washington Huskies
|
-1.82 |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 21 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.63 |
| 22 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-1.65 |
| 23 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 24 |
Appalachian State Mountaineers
|
0.43 |
| 25 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
-1.83 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Northwestern Wildcats
|
0.58 |
Army West Point
|
0.41 |
Utah State Aggies
|
0.01 |
Total Score: 15.01