ExternalTangents Ballot for 2018 Week 12
Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Nov. 12, 2018, 6:57 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My ranking is a backward-looking, achievement-based system. **This is not a predictive ranking**, it is solely descriptive of teams' accomplishments during the current season. It is all computerized, and there is no head-to-head component.It takes into account only what teams have done this year, and it starts with the assumption that all teams are equal, then iteratively informs itself to how good teams actually are based on game results. It starts over from scratch each week.A summary of the ranking philosophy and calculation process can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/user/ExternalTangents/comments/70w4wp/the_externaltangents_cfb_rankings_explained/ . In short, the system identifies a set of rankings/ratings in which the priors/inputs are the same rankings as the output rankings.
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Clemson Tigers
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.26 |
| 5 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
-0.02 |
| 6 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 7 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.72 |
| 8 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
UCF Knights
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Washington State Cougars
|
-0.38 |
| 12 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.54 |
| 13 |
Florida Gators
|
0.47 |
| 14 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.56 |
| 15 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
1.18 |
| 16 |
Boise State Broncos
|
1.14 |
| 17 |
Army West Point
|
1.50 |
| 18 |
Syracuse Orange
|
-0.37 |
| 19 |
Buffalo Bulls
|
0.95 |
| 20 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
0.98 |
| 21 |
Texas Longhorns
|
-0.56 |
| 22 |
Utah State Aggies
|
-1.11 |
| 23 |
Iowa State Cyclones
|
-0.26 |
| 24 |
Utah Utes
|
-0.23 |
| 25 |
Missouri Tigers
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
Washington Huskies
|
1.45 |
Boston College Eagles
|
0.35 |
UAB Blazers
|
0.03 |
Total Score: 13.07