Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Nov. 6, 2018, 12:28 a.m.
Overall Rationale: This week, I once again employed my two-model ranking with a human component at the end. I averaged the normalized scores from two models -- a points-based strength-of-schedule model and a results-based strength-of-schedule model -- then manually adjusted rankings with a tolerance of 10 positions from the model average. Teams must be in the top 35 of the combined ranking and the top 55 of each individual model. First N Out - Auburn (23), Cincinnati (25) Notable Absences - UCF (33; 60 in one poll), Syracuse (39), Boston College (37), NC State (43), Utah (20)
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Alabama rolled over LSU and made it even more apparent that they're the best team in the country. (2) |
2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Notre Dame managed to put away Northwestern to remain undefeated. (3) |
3 | Michigan Wolverines | Ouch, oof, owie, my Nittany Lions. (1) |
4 | Clemson Tigers | Beating up on "P5" Louisville is fun and all, but it doesn't tell us as much about Clemson as we might like. (6) |
5 | Georgia Bulldogs | Georgia secured its spot in the SEC Championship Game with a win over Kentucky. (4) |
6 | LSU Tigers | A 0 on the scoreboard, but not in our hearts. (8) |
7 | Oklahoma Sooners | Oklahoma's win over Texas Tech wasn't pretty, but it was technically a win. (5) |
8 | Ohio State Buckeyes | See above, but with Ohio State and Nebraska. (7) |
9 | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan State is looking good and makes it into the top 10 this week. (14) |
10 | Kentucky Wildcats | A tough loss to Georgia will keep Kentucky out of the SEC Championship Game, but this season can still be something special for the Wildcats. (12) |
11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Penn State has three losses, but they're all to top 10 teams, so they get a bit of a pass. (13) |
12 | Washington Huskies | Washington sort of fell off the Pac-12 radar for a bit, but they're back in the top 15 after defeating Stanford. (14) |
13 | Northwestern Wildcats | A close loss to Notre Dame may dampen Northwestern's spirits, but it does nothing to dampen their Big Ten West dreams. (15) |
14 | Texas Longhorns | Taking West Virginia to the wire, Texas certainly put in a strong showing. (16) |
15 | Fresno State Bulldogs | Fresno State is still the G5 team on which I'm the highest; a statement echoed by my models (or at least one of them). (18) |
16 | Washington State Cougars | The Cougars finally broke into my computer top 35 (or, more accurately, the top 55 of both my models), so they find themselves in my top 25 (16). |
17 | West Virginia Mountaineers | Ditto. (27) |
18 | Missouri Tigers | What a win over Florida; Missouri jumps into the top 20 as a result. (19) |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | A close loss to Purdue isn't enough to derail my computer's (or my) enthusiasm for the Hawkeyes. (9) |
20 | Florida Gators | A tough loss for Florida, who still hope to make the best of this season. (17) |
21 | Purdue Boilermakers | Purdue's dominant win over Ohio State, as well as their slightly-less-dominant win over Iowa, lifts Purdue into the top 25. (11) |
22 | South Carolina Gamecocks | Surrendering 44 points in a win isn't a very SEC thing to do, yet here we are. (30) |
23 | Utah State Aggies | The Aggies have put together a strong season, not the least of which is their early-season nail-biter with Michigan State. (32) |
24 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Mississippi State feasted on their mid-season cupcake and look to finish strong this season. (22) |
25 | Iowa State Cyclones | Iowa State returns in the same spot they found themselves last week. (35) |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | 0.06 |
3 | Michigan Wolverines | 0.36 |
4 | Clemson Tigers | -1.04 |
5 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
6 | LSU Tigers | 0.63 |
7 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
8 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.12 |
9 | Michigan State Spartans | 3.14 |
10 | Kentucky Wildcats | 0.38 |
11 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 1.66 |
12 | Washington Huskies | 1.58 |
13 | Northwestern Wildcats | 11.90 |
14 | Texas Longhorns | 0.37 |
15 | Fresno State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
16 | Washington State Cougars | -1.61 |
17 | West Virginia Mountaineers | -3.68 |
18 | Missouri Tigers | 6.83 |
19 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 2.72 |
20 | Florida Gators | 0.00 |
21 | Purdue Boilermakers | 3.75 |
22 | South Carolina Gamecocks | 2.98 |
23 | Utah State Aggies | -0.90 |
24 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -0.30 |
25 | Iowa State Cyclones | 0.00 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
UCF Knights | 4.14 |
Syracuse Orange | 1.69 |
Boston College Eagles | 1.38 |
NC State Wolfpack | 0.65 |
Cincinnati Bearcats | 0.17 |
Total Score: 52.04