Ballot Type: Hybrid
Submitted: Oct. 15, 2018, 8:19 p.m.
Overall Rationale: My computer model this year has provided much more extreme results than last year's version, due largely to its reliance on points instead of wins. This has resulted in many 4-3 teams (and even some 3-3 ones) cracking the top 40. Next week, I might try to average the rankings of the two model types, but I'll cross that bridge when I come to it. Teams must be within 15 positions of their computer rank (parentheses). First N Out - Utah (41) Notable Absences - UCF (67), Oregon (64), NC State (76), Cincinnati (44), USF (108), Washington State (94)
| Rank | Team | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
Alabama looked almost mortal for a brief period against Missouri, but they quickly the Crimson Tide quickly dispelled that notion en route to yet another win. (3) |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
Ohio State continues to look good with a strong win over Minnesota. (2) |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
Notre Dame escaped by the skin of their teeth, but they remain undefeated. (4) |
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
A dominant win over Georgia catapults LSU up the rankings. (5) |
| 5 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
Michigan continues to put away opponents, and finds themselves in my top 5. (1) |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
Texas has had some great performances this year and has rebounded nicely from their opening loss. (6) |
| 7 |
Clemson Tigers
|
Clemson looks good, but not according to my model, likely due to the close win over Syracuse. (22) |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
A week after their loss to Texas, Oklahoma is still sitting in the top 10. (11) |
| 9 |
Florida Gators
|
Florida has looked good this season, with their loss to Kentucky now seeming much less bad. (7) |
| 10 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
A rough loss for Georgia, but they're still clinging to a top 10 spot. (8) |
| 11 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
Kentucky still has a solid resume and is part of a glut of SEC teams in this range. (12) |
| 12 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
Penn State and consecutive heartbreaking losses to Ohio State and Michigan State; name a more iconic duo. (14) |
| 13 |
Washington Huskies
|
Another loss contributes to Washington's decline in this ballot. (16) |
| 14 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
Iowa is looking better and better, though that loss to Wisconsin isn't the best. (10) |
| 15 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
Some of the luster has come off Mississippi State over the past few weeks, but they're still looking like a solid team. (30) |
| 16 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
Duke seems to be missing from many rankings, despite a solid start to the season and only one (pretty bad) loss. (26) |
| 17 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
A few reasonable losses to good teams helps keep Texas A&M afloat. (13) |
| 18 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
Michigan State managed to get it done against Penn State and moves back into the top 20. (29) |
| 19 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
A tough loss to a good Michigan team pushes Wisconsin down the rankings. (18) |
| 20 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
Maryland's win over Texas buoys them mightily. (9) |
| 21 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
I wasn't as high on Miami as many others a week ago (in part due to my computer component), but I'm also not as low on them now; a close road loss to a decent team doesn't torpedo Miami's season. (32) |
| 22 |
Stanford Cardinal
|
Back-to-back drubbings were not kind to Stanford, but I think they're still a decent team. (37) |
| 23 |
Boston College Eagles
|
The Eagles have actually looked pretty solid this season and narrowly take a spot in the top 25. (38) |
| 24 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
My computer model's take on West Virginia hasn't changed, and nor has the tolerance I build in, so West Virginia's rank doesn't change here either. (39) |
| 25 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
The only G5 team with no more than one loss in my computer model's top 40, Fresno State has, outside a close loss to Minnesota, looked dominant this season. (27) |
Teams Ranked:
| Rank | Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alabama Crimson Tide
|
0.00 |
| 2 |
Ohio State Buckeyes
|
0.00 |
| 3 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
|
0.00 |
| 4 |
LSU Tigers
|
0.05 |
| 5 |
Michigan Wolverines
|
0.16 |
| 6 |
Texas Longhorns
|
0.20 |
| 7 |
Clemson Tigers
|
-1.94 |
| 8 |
Oklahoma Sooners
|
0.00 |
| 9 |
Florida Gators
|
0.00 |
| 10 |
Georgia Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
| 11 |
Kentucky Wildcats
|
0.10 |
| 12 |
Penn State Nittany Lions
|
0.80 |
| 13 |
Washington Huskies
|
0.46 |
| 14 |
Iowa Hawkeyes
|
0.73 |
| 15 |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
|
1.94 |
| 16 |
Duke Blue Devils
|
3.27 |
| 17 |
Texas A&M Aggies
|
0.00 |
| 18 |
Michigan State Spartans
|
1.25 |
| 19 |
Wisconsin Badgers
|
0.60 |
| 20 |
Maryland Terrapins
|
5.16 |
| 21 |
Miami Hurricanes
|
2.33 |
| 22 |
Stanford Cardinal
|
0.41 |
| 23 |
Boston College Eagles
|
2.18 |
| 24 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
|
-1.81 |
| 25 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
|
0.00 |
Omissions:
| Team | Unusualness |
|---|---|
UCF Knights
|
3.16 |
Oregon Ducks
|
2.42 |
NC State Wolfpack
|
2.15 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
|
0.66 |
USF Bulls
|
0.40 |
Washington State Cougars
|
0.35 |
Total Score: 32.50