Ballot Type: Computer
Submitted: Jan. 9, 2018, 7:36 p.m.
Overall Rationale: I took the BROHM methodology from u/factorialite but with a few minor changes. First, this ranking system is pretty bad (though amusingly quite good in some ways, a la finding Clemson/OU/Alabama highly ranked).The way BROHM works is I have assigned P5 teams 150 points to start, G5 teams 100 points, FCS Playoff (last year) teams 75 points (which they cannot gain or lose but just stay at 75 always) and all other FCS teams 50 points (which again, cannot gain or lose but just stay at 50 points),For each game, a team contributes half of its points into the game pool (so if a P5 team starts against another P5 team they each contribute 75 points). Then, they take out points based on their pythagorean share in that game (PointsFOR^2/(PointsFOR^2+PointsAGAINST^2)). This way, it's possible for a "bad" team to play a "good" team close and ultimately win points despite losing the game. Alternatively, it is possible for a "good" team to win a game and ultimately lose points to a "bad" team by not beating them by enough.UPDATE: Several weeks ago I found a critical error regarding Miami (FL) that was causing it to not garner the points it should have. Due to this I updated the poll methodology to (hopefully) be a less reactive and have less recency-bias.Updates for next year (Hopefully): More iterations to help reduce error, fine-tune the amount of the pot that is given/taken (example, don't bring in 50% of your points each week, maybe only 25% or maybe 75%). The poll, even to Week 15 was showing Boston College as being ranked, and has Utah ranked in the last week, which is probably a bit unfair towards teams who won more games.
Rank | Team | Reason |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | Points: 1082Move: +6 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | Points: 969Move: 0 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | Points: 817Move: +1 |
4 | Oklahoma Sooners | Points: 801Move: -1 |
5 | Wisconsin Badgers | Points: 597Move: 0 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | Points: 502Move: 0 |
7 | Clemson Tigers | Points: 446Move: -6 |
8 | UCF Knights | Points: 424Move: +9 |
9 | Auburn Tigers | Points: 423Move: -1 |
10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Points: 368Move: 0 |
11 | Kansas State Wildcats | Points: 335Move: +10 |
12 | Pittsburgh Panthers | Points: 322Move: -3 |
13 | Iowa State Cyclones | Points: 321Move: -2 |
14 | Washington Huskies | Points: 309Move: -1 |
15 | Iowa Hawkeyes | Points: 306Move: +9 |
16 | TCU Horned Frogs | Points: 302Move: +6 |
17 | Stanford Cardinal | Points: 301Move: -2 |
18 | Texas Longhorns | Points: 289Move: +13 |
19 | NC State Wolfpack | Points: 288Move: -3 |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Points: 267Move: +15 |
21 | Northwestern Wildcats | Points: 258Move: -9 |
22 | Memphis Tigers | Points: 254Move: +6 |
23 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Points: 254Move: +7 |
24 | Utah Utes | Points: 246Move: +15 |
25 | Miami Hurricanes | Points: 242Move: +1 |
Teams Ranked:
Rank | Team | Unusualness |
---|---|---|
1 | Alabama Crimson Tide | 0.00 |
2 | Georgia Bulldogs | 0.00 |
3 | Ohio State Buckeyes | 0.76 |
4 | Oklahoma Sooners | 0.00 |
5 | Wisconsin Badgers | 0.21 |
6 | Penn State Nittany Lions | 0.68 |
7 | Clemson Tigers | -0.30 |
8 | UCF Knights | -0.97 |
9 | Auburn Tigers | 0.04 |
10 | Oklahoma State Cowboys | 0.89 |
11 | Kansas State Wildcats | 14.14 |
12 | Pittsburgh Panthers | 13.19 |
13 | Iowa State Cyclones | 9.62 |
14 | Washington Huskies | 0.00 |
15 | Iowa Hawkeyes | 8.69 |
16 | TCU Horned Frogs | -1.81 |
17 | Stanford Cardinal | 0.25 |
18 | Texas Longhorns | 7.22 |
19 | NC State Wolfpack | 0.72 |
20 | Mississippi State Bulldogs | 0.00 |
21 | Northwestern Wildcats | -0.59 |
22 | Memphis Tigers | 0.00 |
23 | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -3.50 |
24 | Utah Utes | 1.17 |
25 | Miami Hurricanes | -3.87 |
Omissions:
Team | Unusualness |
---|---|
USC Trojans | 3.93 |
Michigan State Spartans | 3.70 |
LSU Tigers | 1.02 |
USF Bulls | 0.62 |
Boise State Broncos | 0.78 |
Total Score: 78.67