Ballot Type: Computer

Submitted: Nov. 26, 2017, 4:46 p.m.

Overall Rationale: This is a predictive computer poll I've been using with some success for the past two years. It looks weird because it looks forward to try and predict future results, not backwards to rank resumes like your typical poll. I've written some more explanations on my previous polls. This week is just the output of my normal formula that starts from a preseason ranking and adjusts based on results from there. The one exception is that FSU was ranked 21 (same as FPI) and I removed them in favor of UCF because 1) I don't want to drag down UCF and 2) I don't want there to be any question of homerism when my team is 5-6. No other changes because at least for this year I want to stick with what the formula puts out for the most part, but I may change to a more resume based ranking for next year to get off of that most controversial list.

• Ballot
• Analysis

Rank	Team	Reason
1	Auburn Tigers	1.000
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	0.954
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0.939
4	Clemson Tigers	0.932
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.920
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.888
7	Wisconsin Badgers	0.879
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.868
9	Washington Huskies	0.867
10	TCU Horned Frogs	0.843
11	LSU Tigers	0.819
12	Miami Hurricanes	0.817
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.807
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.801
15	Louisville Cardinals	0.787
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	0.783
17	Stanford Cardinal	0.781
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	0.772
19	USC Trojans	0.769
20	NC State Wolfpack	0.764
21	UCF Knights
22	Iowa State Cyclones	0.739
23	Boston College Eagles	0.737
24	Michigan Wolverines	0.735
25	Northwestern Wildcats	0.721

Teams Ranked:

Rank	Team	Unusualness
1	Auburn Tigers	1.08
2	Alabama Crimson Tide	1.64
3	Oklahoma Sooners	0.00
4	Clemson Tigers	-0.25
5	Georgia Bulldogs	0.00
6	Ohio State Buckeyes	0.35
7	Wisconsin Badgers	-2.76
8	Penn State Nittany Lions	0.51
9	Washington Huskies	1.39
10	TCU Horned Frogs	0.00
11	LSU Tigers	1.90
12	Miami Hurricanes	-1.56
13	Oklahoma State Cowboys	0.95
14	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	0.00
15	Louisville Cardinals	9.95
16	Iowa Hawkeyes	9.09
17	Stanford Cardinal	-0.25
18	Virginia Tech Hokies	0.62
19	USC Trojans	-2.52
20	NC State Wolfpack	4.33
21	UCF Knights	-2.82
22	Iowa State Cyclones	3.07
23	Boston College Eagles	2.19
24	Michigan Wolverines	0.82
25	Northwestern Wildcats	-1.38

Omissions:

Team	Unusualness
Memphis Tigers	2.19
Michigan State Spartans	2.02
Washington State Cougars	1.28
USF Bulls	0.30
Fresno State Bulldogs	0.19

Total Score: 55.39